School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Centre for Research on Health Economics, Social and Health Care Management (CREMS)-LIUC-Carlo Cattaneo Univerity, Castellanza, VA, Italy.
Eur J Health Econ. 2018 Jan;19(1):37-44. doi: 10.1007/s10198-016-0865-3. Epub 2016 Dec 22.
The WHO estimates that more than 185 million people are infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) worldwide. The aim of the study is to assess the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of the use of daclatasvir (DCV) + sofosbuvir (SOF) + ribavirin (RBV) for 12 and 16 weeks vs SOF + RBV for 16 and 24 weeks for the treatment of genotype 3 HCV infected cirrhotic patients from the Italian National Health Service (NHS) perspective. A published cohort-based Markov model was used to perform the analysis estimating the lifetime direct medical costs associated with the management of the pathology and the quality adjusted life years gained by patients. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of the results. SOF + RBV for 16 weeks was excluded from the analysis due to the significant lower effectiveness, compared with SOF + RBV for 24 weeks (51% vs 79%). DCV + SOF + RBV would increase QALYs and costs in all the comparisons: the ICERs obtained comparing DCV + SOF + RBV for 12 and 16 weeks with SOF + RBV for 24 weeks (reference scenario) are 38,572 €/QALY and 16,436 €/QALY, respectively, both below the 40,000 €/QALY threshold identified by the Italian Health Economics Association. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the results. The use of DCV + SOF + RBV is likely to be cost-effective compared with SOF + RBV (for 24 weeks) for the treatment of cirrhotic patients infected with genotype 3 HCV considering a threshold value of 40,000 €/QALY.
世界卫生组织估计,全球有超过 1.85 亿人感染丙型肝炎病毒(HCV)。本研究旨在评估从意大利国家卫生服务体系(NHS)的角度来看,使用达卡他韦(DCV)+索磷布韦(SOF)+利巴韦林(RBV)治疗 12 周和 16 周与 SOF+RBV 治疗 16 周和 24 周的增量成本效益比(ICER)。使用已发表的基于队列的马尔可夫模型进行分析,估计与该疾病管理相关的终生直接医疗成本和患者获得的质量调整生命年。进行确定性和概率敏感性分析以测试结果的稳健性。SOF+RBV 治疗 16 周由于与 SOF+RBV 治疗 24 周相比,效果显著降低(51%比 79%)而被排除在分析之外。在所有比较中,使用 DCV+SOF+RBV 治疗 12 周和 16 周都会增加 QALYs 和成本:与 SOF+RBV 治疗 24 周(参考方案)相比,使用 DCV+SOF+RBV 治疗 12 周和 16 周的 ICER 分别为 38572 欧元/QALY 和 16436 欧元/QALY,均低于意大利卫生经济学协会确定的 40000 欧元/QALY 阈值。敏感性分析证实了结果的稳健性。考虑到 40000 欧元/QALY 的阈值,使用 DCV+SOF+RBV 治疗基因型 3 HCV 感染的肝硬化患者可能比 SOF+RBV(治疗 24 周)更具成本效益。