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1975 - 2014年撒哈拉以南非洲地区食品和农业研发投资回报情况

Returns to food and agricultural R&D investments in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1975-2014.

作者信息

Pardey Philip G, Andrade Robert S, Hurley Terrance M, Rao Xudong, Liebenberg Frikkie G

机构信息

Department of Applied Economics, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN 55108, USA.

Business Economics, Wageningen UR, Wageningen 6706 KN, Netherlands.

出版信息

Food Policy. 2016 Dec;65:1-8. doi: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2016.09.009.

Abstract

Research-enabled growth in agricultural productivity is pivotal to sub-Saharan Africa's overall economic growth prospects. Yet, investments in research and development (R&D) targeted to many national food and agricultural economies throughout Africa are fragile and faltering. To gain insight into what could be driving this trend, this article updates, summarizes and reassesses the published evidence on the returns to African agricultural R&D. Based on a compilation of 113 studies published between 1975 and 2014 spanning 25 countries, the reported internal rates of return () to food and agricultural research conducted in or of direct consequence for sub-Saharan Africa averaged 42.3%py. In addition to the 376 estimates, the corresponding 129 benefit-cost ratios () averaged 30.1. Most (96.5%) of the returns-to-research evaluations are of publicly performed R&D, and the majority (87.6%) of the studies were published in the period 1990-2009. The large dispersion in the reported and makes it difficult to discern meaningful patterns in the evidence. Moreover, the distribution of is heavily (positively) skewed, such that the median value (35.0%py) is well below the mean, like it is for research done elsewhere in the world (mean 62.4%py; median 38.0%py). Around 78.5% of the evaluations relate to the commodity-specific consequences of agricultural research, while 5.5% report on the returns to an "all agriculture" aggregate. The weight of commodity-specific evaluation evidence is not especially congruent with the composition of agricultural production throughout Africa, nor, to the best that can be determined, the commodity orientation of public African agricultural R&D.

摘要

通过研究实现农业生产率增长对撒哈拉以南非洲的整体经济增长前景至关重要。然而,针对非洲许多国家粮食和农业经济的研发投资却很脆弱且步履维艰。为深入了解导致这一趋势的原因,本文更新、总结并重新评估了已发表的关于非洲农业研发回报的证据。基于对1975年至2014年间发表的涵盖25个国家的113项研究的汇编,报告显示,在撒哈拉以南非洲进行的或对其有直接影响的粮食和农业研究的内部收益率平均为每年42.3%。除了这376个估计值外,相应的129个效益成本比平均为30.1。大多数(96.5%)的研究回报评估是针对公共部门开展的研发,且大多数(87.6%)的研究发表于1990年至2009年期间。报告的内部收益率和效益成本比差异很大,难以从证据中辨别出有意义的模式。此外,内部收益率的分布严重(正向)偏斜,以至于中位数(每年35.0%)远低于均值,就像世界其他地区的研究一样(均值为每年62.4%;中位数为38.0%)。约78.5%的评估涉及农业研究的特定商品影响,而5.5%报告了“所有农业”总体的回报。特定商品评估证据的权重与非洲整个农业生产的构成并非特别一致,也与非洲公共农业研发的商品导向(据所能确定的最佳情况)不一致。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1aa7/5176338/695004905b96/gr1.jpg

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