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台湾石牌研究中社区居住的老年人对跌倒和死亡率的恐惧:一项纵向随访研究。

Fear of falling and mortality among community-dwelling older adults in the Shih-Pai study in Taiwan: A longitudinal follow-up study.

机构信息

Department of Family Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.

Institute of Public Health and Community Medicine Research Center, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan.

出版信息

Geriatr Gerontol Int. 2017 Nov;17(11):2216-2223. doi: 10.1111/ggi.12968. Epub 2017 Jan 6.

Abstract

AIM

Little is known about the association between fear of falling (FOF) and the risk of mortality. The aim of the present study was to investigate the association between FOF and mortality among community-dwelling older adults.

METHODS

A total of 3814 older adults aged 65 years and older living in the Shih-Pai area in Taiwan participated in this 7-year follow-up longitudinal study. A structured questionnaire was used to record participants' FOF, history of falling, demographic characteristics, medical conditions, history of insomnia, depression symptoms and subjective health from 1999 to 2002. Follow-up all-cause mortality data were obtained from the National Death Registry of the Department of Health to identify the occurrence of deaths from the initial interview through to 31 December 2008.

RESULTS

At the baseline assessment, the mean age of the participants was 73.8 ± 5.8 years, 56.4% were men and 53.4% had FOF. Cox regression showed that participants with FOF had an increased risk of mortality (aHR 1.16, 95% CI 1.02-1.33) after adjusting for sex, history of falling, age, body mass index, marital status, education level, smoking status, alcohol use, living status, chronic condition, depression and subjective health. Furthermore, FOF was a significant risk factor for male participants (aHR 1.17, 95% CI 1.00-1.38), but had a marginal risk for female participants (aHR 1.24, 95% CI 0.95-1.60) after adjusting for other risk factors, as in the full model except for sex.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of the present study suggest that FOF is a significant risk factor of mortality, especially in older male adults. Further research on the mechanism and effects of fear of falling on mortality is necessary. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2017; 17: 2216-2223.

摘要

目的

对于跌倒恐惧(FOF)与死亡风险之间的关联知之甚少。本研究的目的是调查社区居住的老年人中 FOF 与死亡率之间的关系。

方法

本研究共纳入了 3814 名年龄在 65 岁及以上居住在台湾石牌地区的老年人,他们参加了这项为期 7 年的随访纵向研究。使用结构化问卷记录参与者的 FOF、跌倒史、人口统计学特征、医疗状况、失眠史、抑郁症状和主观健康状况,记录时间为 1999 年至 2002 年。通过卫生署国家死亡登记处获取随访全因死亡率数据,以确定从初始访谈到 2008 年 12 月 31 日期间死亡的发生情况。

结果

在基线评估时,参与者的平均年龄为 73.8±5.8 岁,56.4%为男性,53.4%有 FOF。Cox 回归显示,调整性别、跌倒史、年龄、体重指数、婚姻状况、教育水平、吸烟状况、饮酒状况、居住状况、慢性疾病、抑郁和主观健康状况后,FOF 患者的死亡风险增加(aHR 1.16,95%CI 1.02-1.33)。此外,FOF 是男性参与者的显著死亡风险因素(aHR 1.17,95%CI 1.00-1.38),但在调整其他风险因素(除性别外,还包括全模型中的所有因素)后,FOF 对女性参与者的死亡风险具有边缘性(aHR 1.24,95%CI 0.95-1.60)。

结论

本研究结果表明,FOF 是死亡的重要危险因素,尤其是在老年男性中。需要进一步研究 FOF 对死亡率的机制和影响。

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