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人们对气候变化的认知和气候灾害体验如何影响他们日常适应气候变化的行为?——以年轻一代为例。

How do people's perceptions and climatic disaster experiences influence their daily behaviors regarding adaptation to climate change? - A case study among young generations.

机构信息

State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology/Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Xinjiekouwai Street No.19, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; Chair of Forestry Economics and Forest Planning, University of Freiburg, Tennenbacher Str. 4, Freiburg 79106, Germany.

State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology/Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Xinjiekouwai Street No.19, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2017 Mar 1;581-582:840-847. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.01.022. Epub 2017 Jan 11.

Abstract

Adaptation is a commonly applied strategy used to address individual behavior changes, in response to climate change. However, in-depth, evidence-based investigations of the relationships among individual perceptions, climatic disaster experiences, and daily behaviors regarding adaptation to climate change remain to be conducted. We obtained survey data from 488 respondents in southwestern China, a region prone to frequent and severe droughts, to assess factors that influence adaptive behaviors and to identify their pathways. We applied Construal Level Theory (CLT) and the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) to differentiate between respondents' high-level abstract construals and their low-level concrete construals. We analyzed the influences of these two levels of perception, combined with drought experiences on water-saving behaviors. We developed a structural equation model to estimate the correlation coefficients of the latent and observed variables in the structural process linked to the respondents' adaptive behaviors. The results found that a concrete perception of saving water plays a more significant part than an abstract perception of climate change in prompting specific adaptive behaviors. Improving public perceptions of climate change might increase the desirability of adaptation, whereas improving perceptions of water saving might increase the feasibility of implementing adaptive measures. Experience influenced individual behaviors, but that influence was indirect through its effects on perceptions.

摘要

适应是一种常用的策略,用于应对气候变化引起的个体行为变化。然而,对于个体感知、气候灾害经历与适应气候变化的日常行为之间的关系,仍需要进行深入的、基于证据的调查。我们从中国西南部经常遭受严重干旱的地区的 488 名受访者那里获得了调查数据,以评估影响适应行为的因素,并确定其途径。我们应用构念水平理论(CLT)和计划行为理论(TPB)来区分受访者的高水平抽象构念和低水平具体构念。我们分析了这两个感知层面以及干旱经历对节水行为的影响。我们开发了一个结构方程模型来估计与受访者适应行为相关的结构过程中潜在和观察变量的相关系数。结果发现,具体的节水感知比气候变化的抽象感知在促使特定的适应行为方面发挥更重要的作用。提高公众对气候变化的认知可能会增加适应的可取性,而提高节水的认知可能会增加实施适应措施的可行性。经验影响个体行为,但这种影响是通过对感知的影响间接产生的。

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