Welay Getachew Mebrahtu, Alene Kefyalew Addis, Dachew Berihun Assefa
Aksum University, Shire Campus, Shire, Ethiopia.
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia.
Epidemiol Health. 2016 Dec 28;39:e2017001. doi: 10.4178/epih.e2017001. eCollection 2016.
Poor treatment outcomes of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) are responsible for the high mortality rate of this condition in resource-limited settings such as Ethiopia. This study aimed to identify the proportion of poor VL treatment outcomes in northwest Ethiopia and to evaluate the determinants associated with poor outcomes.
A hospital-based retrospective study was conducted among 595 VL patients who were admitted to Kahsay Abera Hospital in northwest Ethiopia from October 2010 to April 2013. Data were entered into Epi Info version 7.0 and exported to SPSS version 20 for analysis. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regression models were fitted to identify the determinants of VL treatment outcomes. Adjusted odds ratio (aORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used, and -values <0.05 were considered to indicate statistical significance.
The proportion of poor treatment outcomes was 23.7%. Late diagnosis (≥29 days) (aOR, 4.34; 95% CI, 2.22 to 8.46), severe illness at admission (inability to walk) (aOR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.06 to 2.40) and coinfection with VL and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) (aOR, 2.72; 95% CI, 1.40 to 5.20) were found to be determinants of poor VL treatment outcomes.
Poor treatment outcomes, such as death, treatment failure, and non-adherence, were found to be common. Special attention must be paid to severely ill and VL/HIV-coinfected patients. To improve VL treatment outcomes, the early diagnosis and treatment of VL patients is recommended.
在埃塞俄比亚等资源有限的地区,内脏利什曼病(VL)治疗效果不佳导致了该病的高死亡率。本研究旨在确定埃塞俄比亚西北部VL治疗效果不佳的比例,并评估与不良结局相关的决定因素。
对2010年10月至2013年4月期间入住埃塞俄比亚西北部卡赛·阿贝拉医院的595例VL患者进行了一项基于医院的回顾性研究。数据录入Epi Info 7.0版本,并导出到SPSS 20版本进行分析。采用双变量和多变量逻辑回归模型来确定VL治疗结局的决定因素。使用调整后的比值比(aOR)和95%置信区间(CI),P值<0.05被认为具有统计学意义。
治疗效果不佳的比例为23.7%。延迟诊断(≥29天)(aOR,4.34;95%CI,2.22至8.46)、入院时病情严重(无法行走)(aOR,1.63;95%CI,1.06至2.40)以及VL与人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)合并感染(aOR,2.72;95%CI,1.40至5.20)被发现是VL治疗效果不佳的决定因素。
发现死亡、治疗失败和不依从等不良治疗结局很常见。必须特别关注重症患者和VL/HIV合并感染患者。为改善VL治疗结局,建议对VL患者进行早期诊断和治疗。