Choi Jun-Ho, Kim Myung-Hwan, Cho Dong Hui, Oh Dongwook, Lee Hyun Woo, Song Tae Jun, Park Do Hyun, Lee Sang Soo, Seo Dong-Wan, Lee Sung Koo
Department of Internal Medicine, Dankook University College of Medicine, Dankook University Hospital, Cheonan, South Korea.
Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea.
Pancreatology. 2017 Mar-Apr;17(2):194-200. doi: 10.1016/j.pan.2017.01.004. Epub 2017 Jan 17.
Two different severity classifications (revised Atlanta classification [RAC] and determinant-based classification [DBC]) were recently proposed.
This was a retrospective analysis of a prospective acute pancreatitis (AP) database. This study aims to compare the ability of three classification systems (RAC, DBC, and original Atlanta classification [OAC]) to stratify outcomes of AP and to determine the association between different severity categories and clinical outcomes.
Overall, as the grade of severity increased, the morbidity and mortality increased accordingly in the three classification systems. The RAC and DBC were comparable, but performed better than OAC in predicting mortality (AUC 0.92 and 0.95 vs. 0.66, p < 0.001), ICU admission (AUC 0.92 and 0.96 vs. 0.68, p < 0.001), ICU LOS (AUC 0.73 and 0.76 vs. 0.50, p < 0.001), and hospital stay (AUC 0.81 and 0.83 vs. 0.70, p < 0.001). The DBC performed better than the RAC and OAC in predicting the need for intervention (AUC 0.87 vs. 0.79 and 0.68, p < 0.05). The mortality rate in patients with critical DBC category was higher than that in those with severe RAC category (42.1% vs. 24.7%; p = 0.008). POF (OR 19.4, p = 0.001) and IN (OR 11.0, p = 0.025) were independent risk factors for mortality.
In tertiary referral setting, patients in the critical category are at the greatest risk for death and should be managed in an intensive care unit. Although IN itself may be less influential on mortality than POF, IN as well as POF should be considered as the key determinants for severity stratification.
最近提出了两种不同的严重程度分类方法(修订的亚特兰大分类法[RAC]和基于决定因素的分类法[DBC])。
这是一项对前瞻性急性胰腺炎(AP)数据库的回顾性分析。本研究旨在比较三种分类系统(RAC、DBC和原始亚特兰大分类法[OAC])对AP预后进行分层的能力,并确定不同严重程度类别与临床结局之间的关联。
总体而言,随着严重程度等级的增加,三种分类系统中的发病率和死亡率相应增加。RAC和DBC具有可比性,但在预测死亡率(AUC分别为0.92和0.95,对比0.66,p<0.001)、入住重症监护病房(AUC分别为0.92和0.96,对比0.68,p<0.001)、在重症监护病房的住院时间(AUC分别为0.73和0.76,对比0.50,p<0.001)以及住院时间(AUC分别为0.81和0.83,对比0.70,p<0.001)方面比OAC表现更好。DBC在预测干预需求方面比RAC和OAC表现更好(AUC为0.87,对比0.79和0.68,p<0.05)。DBC关键类别患者的死亡率高于RAC严重类别患者(42.1%对24.7%;p=0.008)。胰腺外分泌功能不全(OR为19.4,p=0.001)和感染(OR为11.0,p=0.025)是死亡的独立危险因素。
在三级转诊机构中,关键类别的患者死亡风险最高,应在重症监护病房进行管理。虽然感染本身对死亡率的影响可能不如胰腺外分泌功能不全,但感染以及胰腺外分泌功能不全都应被视为严重程度分层的关键决定因素。