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急性失代偿性心力衰竭后出院的老年患者的长期死亡率:一项前瞻性队列研究。

Long-term mortality in older patients discharged after acute decompensated heart failure: a prospective cohort study.

作者信息

Natella Pierre-André, Le Corvoisier Philippe, Paillaud Elena, Renaud Bertrand, Mahé Isabelle, Bergmann Jean-François, Perchet Hervé, Mottier Dominique, Montagne Olivier, Bastuji-Garin Sylvie

机构信息

Université Paris Est (UPEC), A-TVB DHU, IMRB, EA7376, CEpiA Clinical Epidemiology and Ageing unit, Créteil, France.

AP-HP, Hôpital Henri Mondor, Service de Santé Publique, Créteil, France.

出版信息

BMC Geriatr. 2017 Jan 26;17(1):34. doi: 10.1186/s12877-017-0419-2.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Data are available on short- and intermediate-term mortality rates after discharge for acutely decompensated heart failure (ADHF). However, few studies specifically addressed ADHF outcomes in patients aged 75 years or over, who contribute more than half of all ADHF admissions. Our objectives here were to estimate the long-term mortality of patients aged 75 years or over who were discharged after admission for ADHF and to identify factors, especially geriatric findings, independently associated with 2-year mortality.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study in five French hospitals included consecutive patients aged 75 years or older and discharged after emergency-department admission for ADHF meeting Framingham criteria (N = 478; median age, 85 years; 68% female). Kaplan-Meier 1-year and 2-year survival curves were plotted. Admission characteristics independently associated with overall 2-year mortality were identified using multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression.

RESULTS

Mortality was 41.7% (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 37.2%-53.5%) after 1 year and 56.0% (95% CI, 51.5%-60.7%) after 2 years. By multivariable analysis, independent predictors of 2-year mortality were male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 1.36; 95% CI, 1.00-1.82), age >85 years (HR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.19-2.07), higher number of impaired activities of daily living (HR, 1.11 per impaired item; 95% CI, 1.05-1.17), recent weight loss (HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.14-2.28), and lower systolic blood pressure (HR, 0.86 per standard deviation increase; 95% CI, 0.74-0.99). Creatinine clearance ≤30 mL/min showed a trend toward an association with 2-year mortality (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 0.97-2.00).

CONCLUSION

Functional impairment before admission is associated with higher long-term mortality in patients ≥75 years admitted for ADHF. This study focused on geriatric markers not traditionally collected in heart-failure patients but did not analyse all cardiologic parameters associated with outcomes in other studies. Nevertheless, our findings may contribute to identify those patients admitted for ADHF who have the worst prognosis.

摘要

背景

已有关于急性失代偿性心力衰竭(ADHF)出院后短期和中期死亡率的数据。然而,很少有研究专门针对75岁及以上的ADHF患者的预后情况,而这部分患者占所有ADHF入院患者的一半以上。我们的目的是估计因ADHF入院后出院的75岁及以上患者的长期死亡率,并确定与2年死亡率独立相关的因素,尤其是老年患者的相关特征。

方法

这项在五家法国医院进行的前瞻性队列研究纳入了连续的75岁及以上、因符合弗雷明汉标准的ADHF经急诊科入院后出院的患者(N = 478;中位年龄85岁;68%为女性)。绘制了Kaplan-Meier 1年和2年生存曲线。使用多变量Cox比例风险回归确定与总体2年死亡率独立相关的入院特征。

结果

1年后死亡率为41.7%(95%置信区间[95%CI],37.2%-53.5%),2年后为56.0%(95%CI,51.5%-60.7%)。通过多变量分析,2年死亡率的独立预测因素为男性(风险比[HR],1.36;95%CI,1.00-1.82)、年龄>85岁(HR,1.57;95%CI,1.19-2.07)、日常生活活动受损数量较多(HR,每项受损项目为1.11;95%CI,1.05-1.17)、近期体重减轻(HR,1.61;95%CI,1.14-2.28)以及收缩压较低(HR,每标准差增加0.86;95%CI,0.74-0.99)。肌酐清除率≤30 mL/min显示出与2年死亡率相关的趋势(HR,1.36;95%CI,0.97-2.00)。

结论

入院前的功能损害与因ADHF入院的75岁及以上患者的较高长期死亡率相关。本研究关注的是传统上未在心力衰竭患者中收集的老年标志物,但未分析其他研究中与预后相关的所有心脏参数。尽管如此,我们的研究结果可能有助于识别那些ADHF入院患者中预后最差的患者。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6806/5270303/dab49588dd94/12877_2017_419_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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