Vincenzi Simone, Mangel Marc, Jesensek Dusan, Garza John Carlos, Crivelli Alain J
Department of Ocean Sciences, University of California, Santa Cruz, 110 Shaffer Road, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
Fisheries Ecology Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, 110 Shaffer Road, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA.
Proc Biol Sci. 2017 Feb 8;284(1848). doi: 10.1098/rspb.2016.2118.
Climate change is predicted to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme climate events. Tests on empirical data of theory-based predictions on the consequences of extreme climate events are thus necessary to understand the adaptive potential of species and the overarching risks associated with all aspects of climate change. We tested predictions on the genetic and life-history consequences of extreme climate events in two populations of marble trout Salmo marmoratus that have experienced severe demographic bottlenecks due to flash floods. We combined long-term field and genotyping data with pedigree reconstruction in a theory-based framework. Our results show that after flash floods, reproduction occurred at a younger age in one population. In both populations, we found the highest reproductive variance in the first cohort born after the floods due to a combination of fewer parents and higher early survival of offspring. A small number of parents allowed for demographic recovery after the floods, but the genetic bottleneck further reduced genetic diversity in both populations. Our results also elucidate some of the mechanisms responsible for a greater prevalence of faster life histories after the extreme event.
据预测,气候变化将增加极端气候事件的频率和强度。因此,对基于理论预测的极端气候事件后果的实证数据进行检验,对于了解物种的适应潜力以及与气候变化各方面相关的总体风险至关重要。我们对大理石鳟(Salmo marmoratus)两个种群中极端气候事件的遗传和生活史后果的预测进行了检验,这两个种群因山洪暴发经历了严重的种群瓶颈。我们在一个基于理论的框架中,将长期的野外和基因分型数据与系谱重建相结合。我们的结果表明,在山洪暴发后,其中一个种群的繁殖发生在更年轻的年龄。在两个种群中,由于洪水后出生的第一代中亲代数量减少且后代早期存活率较高,我们发现繁殖方差最高。少量的亲代使得洪水后种群数量得以恢复,但基因瓶颈进一步降低了两个种群的遗传多样性。我们的结果还阐明了极端事件后更快生活史更普遍的一些机制。