Pinilla Jaime, Abásolo Ignacio
Departamento de Métodos Cuantitativos en Economía y Gestión (Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria). Facultad de Economía, Empresa y Turismo. Campus Universitario de Tafira, 35017 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain.
Departamento de Economía Aplicada y Métodos Cuantitativos; Instituto Universitario de Desarrollo Regional (Universidad de La Laguna). Facultad de Economía, Empresa y Turismo. Universidad de La Laguna, Campus de Guajara, 38071 La Laguna, Tenerife Spain.
Tob Induc Dis. 2017 Jan 28;15:8. doi: 10.1186/s12971-016-0109-4. eCollection 2017.
In Spain, the Law 28/2005, which came into effect on January 2006, was a turning point in smoking regulation and prevention, serving as a guarantee for the progress of future strategies in the direction marked by international organizations. It is expected that this regulatory policy should benefit relatively more to lower socioeconomic groups, thus contributing to a reduction in socioeconomic health inequalities. This research analyzes the effect of tobacco regulation in Spain, under Law 28/2005, on the initiation and cessation of tobacco consumption, and whether this effect has been unequal across distinct socioeconomic levels.
Micro-data from the National Health Survey in its 2006 and 2011 editions are used (study numbers: 4382 and 5389 respectively; inventory of statistical operations (ISO) code: 54009), with a sample size of approximately 24,000 households divided into 2,000 census areas. This allows individuals' tobacco consumption records to be reconstructed over five years before the initiation of each survey, as well as identifying those individuals that started or stopped smoking. The methodology is based on "time to event analysis". Cox's proportional hazard models are adapted to show the effects of a set of explanatory variables on the conditional probability of change in tobacco consumption: initiation as a daily smoker by young people or the cessation of daily smoking by adults.
Initiation rates among young people went from 25% (95% confidence interval (CI), 23-27) to 19% (95% CI, 17-21) following the implementation of the Law, and the change in cessation rates among smokers was even greater, with rates increasing from 12% (95% CI, 11-13) to 20% (95% CI, 19-21). However, this effect has not been equal by socioeconomic groups as shown by relative risks. Before the regulation policy, social class was not a statistically significant factor in the initiation of daily smoking ( > 0.05); however, following the implementation of the Law, young people belonging to social classes IV-V and VI had a relative risk of starting smoking 63% ( = 0.03) and 82% ( = 0.02) higher than young people of higher social classes I-II. On the other hand, lower social class also means a lower probability of smoking cessation; however, the relative risk of cessation for a smoker belonging to a household of social class VI (compared to classes I-II) went from 24% ( < 0.001) lower before the Law to 33% ( < 0.001) lower following the law's implementation.
Law 28/2005 has been effective, as after its promulgation there has been a decrease in the rate of smoking initiation among young people and an increase in the rate of cessation among adult smokers. However, this effect has not been equal by socioeconomic groups, favoring relatively more to those individuals belonging to higher social classes.
在西班牙,2006年1月生效的第28/2005号法律是吸烟监管与预防方面的一个转折点,为未来朝着国际组织所指明方向的战略进展提供了保障。预计这一监管政策应相对更多地惠及社会经济地位较低的群体,从而有助于减少社会经济方面的健康不平等。本研究分析了西班牙依据第28/2005号法律实施的烟草监管对烟草消费的开始与停止的影响,以及这种影响在不同社会经济层面上是否存在不平等。
使用了2006年和2011年版《国家健康调查》的微观数据(研究编号分别为4382和5389;统计操作清单(ISO)代码:54009),样本量约为24000户家庭,分为2000个人口普查区。这使得能够在每次调查开始前的五年里重建个人的烟草消费记录,并识别出开始或停止吸烟的个体。该方法基于“事件发生时间分析”。对考克斯比例风险模型进行了调整,以显示一组解释变量对烟草消费变化的条件概率的影响:年轻人开始成为每日吸烟者或成年人停止每日吸烟。
法律实施后,年轻人的吸烟起始率从25%(95%置信区间(CI),23 - 27)降至19%(95%CI,17 - 21),吸烟者的戒烟率变化更大,从12%(95%CI,11 - 13)升至20%(95%CI,19 - 21)。然而,如相对风险所示,不同社会经济群体的这种影响并不相同。在监管政策实施前,社会阶层在每日吸烟起始方面并非具有统计学意义的因素(>0.05);然而,法律实施后,属于社会阶层IV - V和VI的年轻人开始吸烟的相对风险比社会阶层较高的I - II的年轻人分别高63%(=0.03)和82%(=0.02)。另一方面,社会阶层较低也意味着戒烟的可能性较低;然而,属于社会阶层VI家庭的吸烟者(与I - II阶层相比)的戒烟相对风险在法律实施前低24%(<0.001),在法律实施后低33%(<0.001)。
第28/2005号法律是有效的,因为其颁布后年轻人的吸烟起始率有所下降,成年吸烟者的戒烟率有所上升。然而,不同社会经济群体的这种影响并不相同,相对而言更有利于那些属于较高社会阶层的个体。