Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 665 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, United States; Institute of Public Health, Heidelberg University, Im Neuenheimer Feld 130.3, Heidelberg 69120, Germany.
Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 665 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, United States; Research Department of Infection and Population Health, University College London, off Caper Street, London, WC1E 6JB, United Kingdom; Africa Health Research Institute, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Somkhele, 3935, South Africa.
Soc Sci Med. 2017 Mar;176:149-157. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2017.01.015. Epub 2017 Jan 16.
Investing in offspring's human capital has been suggested as an effective strategy for parents to improve their living conditions at older ages. A few studies have assessed the role of children's schooling in parental survival in high-income countries, but none have considered lower-resource settings with limited public wealth transfers and high adult mortality.
We followed 17,789 parents between January 2003 and August 2015 in a large population-based open cohort in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. We used Cox proportional hazards models to investigate the association between offspring's schooling and time to parental death. We assessed the association separately by parental sex and for four cause of death groups.
A one year increase in offspring's schooling attainment was associated with a 5% decline in the hazard of maternal death (adjusted Hazard Ratio [aHR]: 0.95, 95%CI: 0.94-0.97) and a 6% decline in the hazard of paternal death (aHR: 0.94, 95%CI: 0.92-0.96), adjusting for a wide range of demographic and socio-economic variables of the parent and their children. Among mothers, the association was strongest for communicable, maternal, perinatal and nutritional conditions (aHR: 0.87, 95%CI: 0.82-0.92) and AIDS and tuberculosis (aHR: 0.92, 95%CI: 0.89-0.96), and weakest for injuries. Among fathers, the association was strongest for injuries (aHR: 0.87, 95%CI: 0.79-0.95) and AIDS and tuberculosis (aHR: 0.92, 95%CI: 0.89-0.96), and weakest for non-communicable diseases.
Higher levels of schooling in offspring are associated with increased parental survival in rural South Africa, particularly for mothers at risk of communicable disease mortality and fathers at risk of injury mortality. Offspring's human capital may be an important factor for health disparities, particularly in lower-resource settings.
为改善老年生活条件,向子女投资人力资本被认为是父母的有效策略。一些研究评估了子女受教育程度对高收入国家父母生存的作用,但没有考虑到公共财富转移有限、成人死亡率高的资源匮乏环境。
我们对南非夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省农村地区一项大型基于人群的开放队列中 17789 名父母进行了随访,随访时间从 2003 年 1 月至 2015 年 8 月。我们使用 Cox 比例风险模型,调查子女受教育程度与父母死亡时间之间的关联。我们分别按父母性别和四类死因进行了关联评估。
与子女每增加一年受教育程度,母亲死亡风险降低 5%(调整后风险比[aHR]:0.95,95%CI:0.94-0.97),父亲死亡风险降低 6%(aHR:0.94,95%CI:0.92-0.96)相关,调整了父母及其子女的广泛人口统计学和社会经济变量。在母亲中,与传染性疾病、孕产妇疾病、围产期疾病和营养状况(aHR:0.87,95%CI:0.82-0.92)和艾滋病与结核病(aHR:0.92,95%CI:0.89-0.96)的关联最强,与损伤的关联最弱。在父亲中,与损伤(aHR:0.87,95%CI:0.79-0.95)和艾滋病与结核病(aHR:0.92,95%CI:0.89-0.96)的关联最强,与非传染性疾病的关联最弱。
在南非农村地区,子女受教育程度较高与父母生存几率增加相关,这在面临传染性疾病死亡风险的母亲和面临损伤死亡风险的父亲中尤为明显。子女的人力资本可能是健康差异的一个重要因素,特别是在资源匮乏的环境中。