Yoo Sam Hyun, Hayford Sarah R, Agadjanian Victor
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria.
Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, Welthandelsplatz 2 / Level 2, 1020 Vienna, Austria.
Popul Res Policy Rev. 2017;36(1):25-54. doi: 10.1007/s11113-016-9405-1. Epub 2016 Jul 15.
South Korea was among the first countries to report both an abnormally high sex ratio at birth (SRB) and its subsequent normalization. We examine the role of son preference in driving fertility intentions during a period of declining SRB and consider the contribution of individual characteristics and broader social context to explaining changes in intentions. We employ data from the National Survey on Fertility, Family Health and Welfare that span 1991-2012. We find that reported son preference declined to a great extent but remained substantial by the end of the observation period, and that the intention to have a third child still differed by sex of existing children. Change in individual-level factors does not explain the decline in son preference, suggesting that broad social changes were also important. This study provides a better understanding of how son preference evolves in the post-transitional context of very low fertility.
韩国是最早报告出生性别比(SRB)异常偏高及其随后趋于正常化的国家之一。我们研究了在出生性别比下降期间儿子偏好对生育意愿的驱动作用,并考虑了个人特征和更广泛的社会背景对解释意愿变化的贡献。我们使用了1991年至2012年期间的《全国生育、家庭健康与福利调查》数据。我们发现,报告的儿子偏好大幅下降,但在观察期结束时仍然显著,并且生育第三个孩子的意愿仍然因现有子女的性别而异。个人层面因素的变化并不能解释儿子偏好的下降,这表明广泛的社会变革也很重要。这项研究有助于更好地理解在极低生育率的后转型背景下儿子偏好是如何演变的。