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另一种性别化的人口红利:适应没有儿子的未来。

Another Gendered Demographic Dividend: Adjusting to a Future without Sons.

作者信息

Allendorf Keera

机构信息

Associate Professor of Sociology and International Studies, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA.

出版信息

Popul Dev Rev. 2020 Sep;46(3):471-499. doi: 10.1111/padr.12337. Epub 2020 May 9.

Abstract

Sonless families may pose another gendered demographic dividend. As fertility declines, families with only daughters are likely to grow. In turn, patriarchal family systems may weaken when many families are unable to engage in patriarchal practices. I examine some of these theorized dynamics in India. Sonless families did grow as fertility declined, reaching 10 percent in India as a whole in 2015 and approaching 20 percent in states with earlier fertility declines. I also identify a substantial influence of children's sex on mothers' expectations of old-age support. Using panel data from the India Human Development Survey (IHDS), I compare women's expectations after they had children to earlier expectations when they did not yet have children. Women with sons kept or further embraced patriarchal expectations that a son would provide support. Sonless mothers largely gave up patriarchal expectations, turning to daughters or away from children altogether.

摘要

无儿子的家庭可能带来另一种性别化的人口红利。随着生育率下降,只有女儿的家庭可能会增加。反过来,当许多家庭无法践行父权制习俗时,父权制家庭体系可能会削弱。我研究了印度的一些这类理论动态。随着生育率下降,无儿子的家庭确实有所增加,2015年在印度全国达到了10%,在生育率下降较早的邦接近20%。我还发现孩子的性别对母亲的养老支持期望有重大影响。利用印度人类发展调查(IHDS)的面板数据,我比较了女性在生育孩子后的期望与她们尚未生育孩子时的早期期望。有儿子的女性保留或进一步接受了儿子会提供支持的父权制期望。无儿子的母亲大多放弃了父权制期望,转而依靠女儿或完全不再指望孩子。

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