Larsen U, Chung W, Das Gupta M
Harvard School of Public Health, Boston MA.
Popul Stud (Camb). 1998 Nov;52(3):317-25. doi: 10.1080/0032472031000150496.
In Korea, total fertility declined from 6.0 in 1960 to 1.6 in 1990, in spite of a strong preference for male offspring. This paper addresses the notion that son preference hinders fertility decline, and examines the effects of patriarchal relations and modernization on fertility using the 1991 Korea National Fertility and Family Health Survey. It was found that women who have a son are less likely to have another child, and that women with a son who do progress to have another child, take longer to conceive the subsequent child. This pattern prevailed for women of parity one, two, and three, and became more pronounced with higher parity. A multivariate analysis showed that preference for male offspring, patriarchy, and modernization are all strong predictors of second, third, and fourth conceptions.
在韩国,尽管强烈偏好生男嗣,但总生育率仍从1960年的6.0降至1990年的1.6。本文探讨了重男轻女观念阻碍生育率下降这一观点,并利用1991年韩国全国生育率与家庭健康调查研究了父权关系和现代化对生育率的影响。研究发现,育有儿子的女性生育二孩的可能性较小,而育有儿子且继续生育二孩的女性,怀上后续孩子所需的时间更长。这种模式在头胎、二胎和三胎的女性中都存在,且随着胎次增加而更加明显。多变量分析表明,对男性后代的偏好、父权制和现代化都是第二、第三和第四次怀孕的有力预测因素。