Feinberg Matthew, Tullett Alexa M, Mensch Zachary, Hart William, Gottlieb Sara
Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Department of Psychology, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2017 Feb 16;12(2):e0171497. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0171497. eCollection 2017.
It is commonly assumed that how individuals identify on the political spectrum-whether liberal, conservative, or moderate-has a universal meaning when it comes to policy stances and voting behavior. But, does political identity mean the same thing from place to place? Using data collected from across the U.S. we find that even when people share the same political identity, those in "bluer" locations are more likely to support left-leaning policies and vote for Democratic candidates than those in "redder" locations. Because the meaning of political identity is inconsistent across locations, individuals who share the same political identity sometimes espouse opposing policy stances. Meanwhile, those with opposing identities sometimes endorse identical policy stances. Such findings suggest that researchers, campaigners, and pollsters must use caution when extrapolating policy preferences and voting behavior from political identity, and that animosity toward the other end of the political spectrum is sometimes misplaced.
人们通常认为,个人在政治光谱上的定位——无论是自由派、保守派还是温和派——在政策立场和投票行为方面具有普遍意义。但是,政治身份在不同地方的含义相同吗?通过使用从美国各地收集的数据,我们发现,即使人们具有相同的政治身份,与“更红”地区的人相比,“更蓝”地区的人更有可能支持左倾政策并投票给民主党候选人。由于政治身份的含义在不同地区并不一致,具有相同政治身份的个人有时会支持相反的政策立场。与此同时,具有相反身份的人有时会支持相同的政策立场。这些发现表明,研究人员、竞选活动人士和民意调查人员在从政治身份推断政策偏好和投票行为时必须谨慎,而且对政治光谱另一端的敌意有时是错误的。