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太空:最后的前沿——与火星相关的研究

Space: The Final Frontier-Research Relevant to Mars.

作者信息

Boice John D

机构信息

*National Council on Radiation Protection and Measurements, 7910 Woodmont Avenue, Suite 400, Bethesda, MD 20814-3095.

出版信息

Health Phys. 2017 Apr;112(4):392-397. doi: 10.1097/HP.0000000000000656.

Abstract

A critically important gap in knowledge surrounds the health consequences of exposure to radiation received gradually over time. Much is known about the health effects of brief high-dose exposures, such as from the atomic bombings in Japan, but the concerns today focus on the frequent low-dose exposures received by members of the public, workers, and, as addressed in this paper, astronauts. Additional guidance is needed by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) for planning long-term missions where the rate of radiation exposure is gradual over years and the cumulative amounts high. The direct study of low doses and low-dose rates is of immeasurable value in understanding the possible range of health effects from gradual exposures and in providing guidance for radiation protection, not only of workers and the public but also astronauts. The ongoing Million Person Study (MPS) is 10 times larger than the study of the Japanese atomic bomb survivors of 86,000 survivors with estimated doses. The number of workers with >100 mSv career dose is substantially greater. The large study size, broad range of doses, and long follow-up indicate substantial statistical ability to quantify the risk of exposures that are received gradually over time. The study consists of 360,000 U.S. Department of Energy workers from the Manhattan Project; 150,000 nuclear utility workers from the inception of the nuclear age; 115,000 atomic veterans who participated in above-ground atmospheric tests at the Nevada Test Site and the Bikini and Enewetak Atolls and Johnston Island in the Pacific Proving Grounds (PPG); 250,000 radiologists and medical workers; and 130,000 industrial radiographers. NASA uses an individual risk-based system for radiation protection in contrast to the system of dose limits for occupational exposures used by terrestrial-based organizations. The permissible career exposure limit set by NASA for each astronaut is a 3% risk of exposure-induced death (REID) from cancer at a 95% confidence level to account for uncertainties in risk projections. The large size of the MPS will reduce the uncertainty in the risk estimates, narrowing the 95% confidence interval, and thus allow more time in space for astronauts. Further differences between men and women in their response to radiation can be more fully examined, and non-cancer outcomes, such as neurological disorders and cardiovascular disease, can be evaluated in a way not hitherto possible.

摘要

关于长期逐渐受到辐射照射对健康的影响,存在一个至关重要的知识空白。对于短暂高剂量照射的健康影响,比如日本原子弹爆炸造成的影响,我们了解很多,但如今人们关注的是公众、工作人员,以及本文所讨论的宇航员频繁受到的低剂量照射。美国国家航空航天局(NASA)在规划长期任务时需要更多指导,在这些任务中,辐射照射率在数年时间里是逐渐增加的,且累积量很高。直接研究低剂量和低剂量率对于理解逐渐照射可能产生的健康影响范围,以及为辐射防护提供指导具有不可估量的价值,这不仅适用于工作人员和公众,也适用于宇航员。正在进行的百万人研究(MPS)规模比日本原子弹爆炸幸存者研究大10倍,后者有86000名幸存者且估算了剂量。职业剂量超过100毫希沃特的工作人员数量更多。研究规模大、剂量范围广以及随访时间长,表明有很强的统计能力来量化长期逐渐受到的照射风险。该研究包括来自曼哈顿计划的360000名美国能源部工作人员;核时代开始以来的150000名核电工作人员;115000名参与内华达试验场、太平洋试验场(PPG)的比基尼和埃尼威托克环礁以及约翰斯顿岛的地面大气层试验的原子退伍军人;250000名放射科医生和医务工作者;以及130000名工业放射技师。与地面组织用于职业照射的剂量限制系统不同,NASA采用基于个体风险的辐射防护系统。NASA为每位宇航员设定的职业照射允许限值是在95%置信水平下因癌症导致的照射诱发死亡风险(REID)为3%,以考虑风险预测中的不确定性。MPS的大规模将降低风险估计的不确定性,缩小95%置信区间,从而使宇航员能够在太空中停留更长时间。男性和女性对辐射反应的进一步差异可以得到更充分的研究,并且非癌症后果,如神经紊乱和心血管疾病,可以以一种前所未有的方式进行评估。

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