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它们的影响有多严重?巴基斯坦城市和城郊地区热浪的认知、适应及对公共卫生的影响。

How hard they hit? Perception, adaptation and public health implications of heat waves in urban and peri-urban Pakistan.

作者信息

Rauf Sara, Bakhsh Khuda, Abbas Azhar, Hassan Sarfraz, Ali Asghar, Kächele Harald

机构信息

Institute of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Agriculture, Faisalabad, 38000, Pakistan.

Department of Management Sciences, COMSATS Institute of Information Technology, Vehari, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2017 Apr;24(11):10630-10639. doi: 10.1007/s11356-017-8756-4. Epub 2017 Mar 10.

Abstract

Heat waves threaten human health given the fast changing climatic scenarios in the recent past. Adaptation to heat waves would take place when people perceive their impacts based on their knowledge. The present study examines perception level and its determinants resulting in adaptation to heat waves in Pakistan. The study used cross-sectional data from urban and peri-urban respondents of Faisalabad District. The study employs a health belief model to assess risk perception among the respondents. Logistic model is used to determine factors affecting level of knowledge, perception and adaptation to heat waves. Around 30% of peri-urban respondents have a low level of knowledge about the fatal impacts of heat waves. Risk perception of heat waves is very low among urban (57%) and peri-urban (66%) respondents. Households' knowledge on heat waves is significantly related to age, gender, education, wealth and access to health services. Determinants of perception include knowledge of heat waves, age and joint effect of marital status and knowledge while income level, family size, urban/peri-urban background, perceived barriers, perceived benefits and cues to action significantly affect adaptation to heat waves. To reduce deadly health impacts, mass awareness campaigns are needed to build perception and improve adaptation to heat waves.

摘要

鉴于近期气候情景的快速变化,热浪威胁着人类健康。当人们基于自身知识感知到热浪的影响时,就会对热浪做出适应。本研究考察了巴基斯坦民众对热浪的感知水平及其决定因素,这些因素导致了对热浪的适应。该研究使用了来自费萨拉巴德地区城市和城郊受访者的横断面数据。研究采用健康信念模型来评估受访者的风险感知。逻辑模型用于确定影响对热浪的知识水平、感知和适应的因素。城郊约30%的受访者对热浪的致命影响了解程度较低。城市(57%)和城郊(66%)受访者对热浪的风险感知非常低。家庭对热浪的了解与年龄、性别、教育程度、财富以及获得医疗服务的机会显著相关。感知的决定因素包括对热浪的了解、年龄以及婚姻状况与知识的共同作用,而收入水平、家庭规模、城市/城郊背景、感知到的障碍、感知到的益处以及行动提示则显著影响对热浪的适应。为减少致命的健康影响,需要开展大规模宣传活动,以增强认知并改善对热浪的适应。

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