Dogan Eyup, Ozturk Ilhan
Department of Economics, Abdullah Gul University, Kayseri, Turkey.
Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Cag University, Adana-Mersin yolu uzeri, Yenice, Mersin, Turkey.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2017 Apr;24(11):10846-10854. doi: 10.1007/s11356-017-8786-y. Epub 2017 Mar 14.
The objective of this study is to explore the influence of the real income (GDP), renewable energy consumption and non-renewable energy consumption on carbon dioxide (CO) emissions for the United States of America (USA) in the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) model for the period 1980-2014. The Zivot-Andrews unit root test with a structural break and the Clemente-Montanes-Reyes unit root test with a structural break report that the analyzed variables become stationary at first-differences. The Gregory-Hansen cointegration test with a structural break and the bounds testing for cointegration in the presence of a structural break show CO emissions, the real income, the quadratic real income, renewable and non-renewable energy consumption are cointegrated. The long-run estimates obtained from the ARDL model indicate that increases in renewable energy consumption mitigate environmental degradation whereas increases in non-renewable energy consumption contribute to CO emissions. In addition, the EKC hypothesis is not valid for the USA. Since we use time-series econometric approaches that account for structural break in the data, findings of this study are robust, reliable and accurate. The US government is advised to put more weights on renewable sources in energy mix, to support and encourage the use and adoption of renewable energy and clean technologies, and to increase the public awareness of renewable energy for lower levels of emissions.
本研究的目的是在环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)模型中,探讨1980 - 2014年期间实际收入(国内生产总值)、可再生能源消费和不可再生能源消费对美利坚合众国(美国)二氧化碳(CO)排放的影响。带有结构断点的齐沃特 - 安德鲁斯单位根检验和带有结构断点的克莱门特 - 蒙塔内斯 - 雷耶斯单位根检验表明,所分析的变量在一阶差分后变为平稳。带有结构断点的格雷戈里 - 汉森协整检验以及存在结构断点时的协整边界检验表明,二氧化碳排放、实际收入、实际收入的二次项、可再生能源消费和不可再生能源消费是协整的。从自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型获得的长期估计表明,可再生能源消费的增加减轻了环境退化,而不可再生能源消费的增加则导致了二氧化碳排放。此外,EKC假说对美国不成立。由于我们使用了考虑数据结构断点的时间序列计量方法,本研究的结果是稳健、可靠且准确的。建议美国政府在能源结构中更加重视可再生能源,支持和鼓励使用及采用可再生能源和清洁技术,并提高公众对可再生能源的认识以降低排放水平。