Dong Xiuwen Sue, Wang Xuanwen, Ringen Knut, Sokas Rosemary
CPWR-The Center for Construction Research and Training, Silver Spring, Maryland.
Stoneturn Consultants, Seattle, Washington.
Am J Ind Med. 2017 Apr;60(4):315-328. doi: 10.1002/ajim.22694.
This study estimated the self-reported probability of working full-time past age 62 (P62) or age 65 (P65) among four cohorts of Americans born between 1931 and 1959.
Data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) were analyzed. Respondents in four age cohorts were selected for comparison. Multivariable linear regression models were used to assess cohort differences in P62 and P65 while adjusting for covariates.
P62 and P65 increased among boomers despite worsened self-rated health compared to the two preceding cohorts, with 37% and 80% increases among mid-boomers in construction trades. Cohort differences in P62 and P65 remained after controlling for covariates. Changes in pensions, income inequity, and education were significantly associated with work expectations, but SSA policy was not.
Baby boomers expect to work longer than their predecessors. Efforts to improve work quality and availability for older workers are urgently needed, particularly in physically demanding occupations. Am. J. Ind. Med. 60:315-328, 2017. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
本研究估计了1931年至1959年出生的四代美国人中自我报告的62岁(P62)或65岁(P65)之后全职工作的概率。
分析了来自健康与退休研究(HRS)的数据。选择了四个年龄队列的受访者进行比较。使用多变量线性回归模型评估P62和P65中的队列差异,同时对协变量进行调整。
尽管与前两代人相比自我评估的健康状况有所恶化,但婴儿潮一代的P62和P65有所增加,建筑行业的中期婴儿潮一代分别增加了 37% 和80%。在控制协变量后,P62和P65中的队列差异仍然存在。养老金、收入不平等和教育的变化与工作期望显著相关,但社会保障政策与之无关。
婴儿潮一代期望比他们的前辈工作更长时间。迫切需要努力提高老年工人的工作质量和可获得性,特别是在体力要求较高的职业中。《美国工业医学杂志》60:315 - 328, 2017。© 2017威利期刊公司。