Roff D A
School of Biological Sciences, University of Sydney, Australia.
Institute of Animal Resource Ecology, University of British Columbia, 8, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Oecologia. 1973 Mar;12(1):15-34. doi: 10.1007/BF00345468.
The behaviour of the mark-recapture estimators of Petersen, Bailey (triple catch) and Jolly and Seber are examined theoretically and empirically by means of simulation techniques. The correlation between the parameter [Formula: see text] and its associated variance is shown to be significant for all the estimators. This correlation makes the estimated variance an insensitive measure of the accuracy of the estimate except at very high sampling intensities. Such sampling intensities are rarely achieved in experimental work and so the method of mark-recapture must be considered of very limited use. At the sampling intensities necessary to give a coefficient of variation of less than 0.05 it does not seem likely that the correlation between [Formula: see text] and its variance will produce serious underestimation but the minimum confidence limits [Formula: see text] are recommended.
通过模拟技术从理论和实证两方面研究了彼得森、贝利（三重捕获）以及乔利和西伯的标记重捕估计量的行为。结果表明，对于所有估计量，参数[公式：见原文]与其相关方差之间的相关性都很显著。这种相关性使得估计方差成为估计准确性的不敏感度量，除非在非常高的抽样强度下。在实验工作中很少能达到这样的抽样强度，因此标记重捕法的用途必须被认为是非常有限的。在给出变异系数小于0.05所需的抽样强度下，[公式：见原文]与其方差之间的相关性似乎不太可能导致严重的低估，但建议使用最小置信限[公式：见原文]。
