Caini Saverio, Alonso Wladimir J, Balmaseda Angel, Bruno Alfredo, Bustos Patricia, Castillo Leticia, de Lozano Celina, de Mora Doménica, Fasce Rodrigo A, Ferreira de Almeida Walquiria Aparecida, Kusznierz Gabriela F, Lara Jenny, Matute Maria Luisa, Moreno Brechla, Pessanha Henriques Claudio Maierovitch, Rudi Juan Manuel, El-Guerche Séblain Clotilde, Schellevis François, Paget John
Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (NIVEL), Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2017 Mar 27;12(3):e0174592. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0174592. eCollection 2017.
The increased availability of influenza surveillance data in recent years justifies an actual and more complete overview of influenza epidemiology in Latin America. We compared the influenza surveillance systems and assessed the epidemiology of influenza A and B, including the spatio-temporal patterns of influenza epidemics, in ten countries and sub-national regions in Latin America.
We aggregated the data by year and country and characteristics of eighty-two years were analysed. We calculated the median proportion of laboratory-confirmed influenza cases caused by each virus strain, and compared the timing and amplitude of the primary and secondary peaks between countries.
37,087 influenza cases were reported during 2004-2012. Influenza A and B accounted for a median of 79% and, respectively, 21% of cases in a year. The percentage of influenza A cases that were subtyped was 82.5%; for influenza B, 15.6% of cases were characterized. Influenza A and B were dominant in seventy-five (91%) and seven (9%) years, respectively. In half (51%) of the influenza A years, influenza A(H3N2) was dominant, followed by influenza A(H1N1)pdm2009 (41%) and pre-pandemic A(H1N1) (8%). The primary peak of influenza activity was in June-September in temperate climate countries, with little or no secondary peak. Tropical climate countries had smaller primary peaks taking place in different months and frequently detectable secondary peaks.
We found that good influenza surveillance data exists in Latin America, although improvements can still be made (e.g. a better characterization of influenza B specimens); that influenza B plays a considerable role in the seasonal influenza burden; and that there is substantial heterogeneity of spatio-temporal patterns of influenza epidemics. To improve the effectiveness of influenza control measures in Latin America, tropical climate countries may need to develop innovative prevention strategies specifically tailored to the spatio-temporal patterns of influenza in this region.
近年来,流感监测数据的可获取性有所增加,这使得对拉丁美洲流感流行病学进行实际且更全面的概述成为可能。我们比较了拉丁美洲十个国家和次国家级地区的流感监测系统,并评估了甲型和乙型流感的流行病学情况,包括流感流行的时空模式。
我们按年份和国家汇总数据,并分析了八十二年的特征。我们计算了每种病毒株导致的实验室确诊流感病例的中位数比例,并比较了各国之间主要和次要高峰的时间和幅度。
2004年至2012年期间共报告了37087例流感病例。甲型流感和乙型流感在一年中的病例中位数分别占79%和21%。甲型流感病例中进行亚型分型的比例为82.5%;乙型流感病例中进行特征描述的比例为15.6%。甲型流感和乙型流感分别在七十五(91%)年和七(9%)年中占主导地位。在一半(51%)的甲型流感年份中,甲型H3N2流感占主导地位,其次是甲型H1N1pdm2009流感(41%)和大流行前的甲型H1N1流感(8%)。温带气候国家的流感活动主要高峰出现在6月至9月,几乎没有或没有次要高峰。热带气候国家的主要高峰较小,出现在不同月份,且经常能检测到次要高峰。
我们发现拉丁美洲存在良好的流感监测数据,尽管仍有改进空间(例如对乙型流感标本进行更好的特征描述);乙型流感在季节性流感负担中发挥着相当大的作用;并且流感流行的时空模式存在很大异质性。为提高拉丁美洲流感控制措施的有效性,热带气候国家可能需要制定专门针对该地区流感时空模式的创新预防策略。