Alcock Ian, White Mathew P, Taylor Tim, Coldwell Deborah F, Gribble Matthew O, Evans Karl L, Corner Adam, Vardoulakis Sotiris, Fleming Lora E
European Centre for Environment and Human Health, University of Exeter Medical School, Knowledge Spa, Royal Cornwall Hospital, Truro, Cornwall, TR1 3HD, UK.
Animal and Plant Sciences, Alfred Denny Building, University of Sheffield, Western Bank, Sheffield, S10 2TN, UK.
Glob Environ Change. 2017 Jan;42:136-147. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.11.005. Epub 2017 Jan 17.
The rise in greenhouse gas emissions from air travel could be reduced by individuals voluntarily abstaining from, or reducing, flights for leisure and recreational purposes. In theory, we might expect that people with pro-environmental value orientations and concerns about the risks of climate change, and those who engage in more pro-environmental household behaviours, would also be more likely to abstain from such voluntary air travel, or at least to fly less far. Analysis of two large datasets from the United Kingdom, weighted to be representative of the whole population, tested these associations. Using zero-inflated Poisson regression models, we found that, after accounting for potential confounders, there was no association between individuals' environmental attitudes, concern over climate change, or their routine pro-environmental household behaviours, and either their propensity to take non-work related flights, or the distances flown by those who do so. These findings contrasted with those for pro-environmental household behaviours, where associations with environmental attitudes and concern were observed. Our results offer little encouragement for policies aiming to reduce discretionary air travel through pro-environmental advocacy, or through 'spill-over' from interventions to improve environmental impacts of household routines.
个人自愿放弃或减少出于休闲娱乐目的的飞行,可以减少航空旅行产生的温室气体排放。理论上,我们可能会认为,具有环保价值取向、关注气候变化风险的人,以及那些更多地践行环保家庭行为的人,也更有可能放弃这种自愿航空旅行,或者至少飞行距离更短。对来自英国的两个大型数据集进行分析(这些数据集经过加权以代表全体人口),检验了这些关联。使用零膨胀泊松回归模型,我们发现,在考虑了潜在混杂因素之后,个人的环境态度、对气候变化的关注或其日常的环保家庭行为,与他们进行非工作相关飞行的倾向,或进行此类飞行的人的飞行距离之间均无关联。这些发现与环保家庭行为的情况形成对比,在环保家庭行为方面,观察到了与环境态度和关注之间的关联。我们的结果对于旨在通过环保宣传或通过干预措施的“溢出效应”来减少非必要航空旅行以改善家庭日常活动对环境影响的政策,几乎没有提供支持。