Andrews Jason R, Leung Daniel T, Ahmed Shahnawaz, Malek Mohammed Abdul, Ahmed Dilruba, Begum Yasmin Ara, Qadri Firdausi, Ahmed Tahmeed, Faruque Abu Syed Golam, Nelson Eric J
Department of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, United States of America.
Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, UT, United States of America.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2017 Apr 27;11(4):e0005512. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005512. eCollection 2017 Apr.
To take advantage of emerging opportunities to reduce morbidity and mortality from diarrheal disease, we need to better understand the determinants of life-threatening severe dehydration (SD) in resource-poor settings.
METHODOLOGY/FINDINGS: We analyzed records of patients admitted with acute diarrheal disease over twenty-two years at the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (1993-2014). Patients presenting with and without SD were compared by multivariable logistic regression models, which included socio-demographic factors and pathogens isolated. Generalized additive models evaluated non-linearities between age or household income and SD. Among 55,956 admitted patients, 13,457 (24%) presented with SD. Vibrio cholerae was the most common pathogen isolated (12,405 patients; 22%), and had the strongest association with SD (AOR 4.77; 95% CI: 4.41-5.51); detection of multiple pathogens did not exacerbate SD risk. The highest proportion of severely dehydrated patients presented in a narrow window only 4-12 hours after symptom onset. Risk of presenting with SD increased sharply from zero to ten years of age and remained high throughout adolescence and adulthood. Adult women had a 38% increased odds (AOR 1.38; 95% CI: 1.30-1.46) of SD compared to adult men. The probability of SD increased sharply at low incomes. These findings were consistent across pathogens.
CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: There remain underappreciated populations vulnerable to life-threatening diarrheal disease that include adult women and the very poor. In addition to efforts that address diarrheal disease in young children, there is a need to develop interventions for these other high-risk populations that are accessible within 4 hours of symptom onset.
为了利用新出现的机会降低腹泻病的发病率和死亡率,我们需要更好地了解资源匮乏地区危及生命的严重脱水(SD)的决定因素。
方法/研究结果:我们分析了孟加拉国腹泻病研究国际中心22年期间(1993 - 2014年)急性腹泻病入院患者的记录。通过多变量逻辑回归模型对出现和未出现严重脱水的患者进行比较,该模型包括社会人口统计学因素和分离出的病原体。广义相加模型评估年龄或家庭收入与严重脱水之间的非线性关系。在55956名入院患者中,13457名(24%)出现严重脱水。霍乱弧菌是分离出的最常见病原体(12405例患者;22%),并且与严重脱水的关联最强(比值比4.77;95%置信区间:4.41 - 5.51);检测到多种病原体并未增加严重脱水风险。症状出现后仅4至12小时的狭窄时间段内出现严重脱水的患者比例最高。出现严重脱水的风险在0至10岁时急剧上升,在整个青春期和成年期都保持在高位。成年女性出现严重脱水的几率比成年男性高38%(比值比1.38;95%置信区间:1.30 - 1.46)。低收入时严重脱水的概率急剧增加。这些发现对于各种病原体都是一致的。
结论/意义:仍有一些未得到充分重视的人群易患危及生命的腹泻病,包括成年女性和极贫困人口。除了针对幼儿腹泻病的防治工作外,还需要针对这些其他高危人群制定在症状出现后4小时内可获得的干预措施。