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气候策略:透过北极地区的实例进行思考。

Climate strategies: thinking through Arctic examples.

作者信息

Bodenhorn Barbara, Ulturgasheva Olga

机构信息

Department of Social Anthropology, University of Cambridge, Free School Lane, Cambridge CB2 3RD, UK

Department of Social Anthropology, University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester M13 9PL, UK.

出版信息

Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2017 Jun 13;375(2095). doi: 10.1098/rsta.2016.0363.

Abstract

Frequent and unpredictable extreme weather events in Siberia and Alaska destroy infrastructure and threaten the livelihoods of circumpolar peoples. Local responses are inventive and flexible. However, the distinct politics of post-Soviet Siberia and Alaska play a key role in the pragmatics of strategic planning. The Arctic is a planetary climate driver, but also holds the promise of massive resources in an ice-free future, producing tensions between 'environmental' and 'development' goals. Drawing on material from Siberia and Alaska we argue: (i) that extreme events in the Arctic are becoming normal; material demands are in a state of flux making it difficult to assess future material needs. We must consider material substitutions as much as material reduction; (ii) local-level responsive strategies should be taken into account. Core/periphery thinking tends to assume that answers come from 'the centre'; this is, in our view, limited; (iii) we suggest that 'flexibility' may become a core survival value that is as important for city planners and public health officials as it is for Siberian reindeer herders. In this, we see not only the simultaneous need for mitigation and adaptation policies, but also for a concerted effort in promoting such capacities in young people.This article is part of the themed issue 'Material demand reduction'.

摘要

西伯利亚和阿拉斯加频繁且不可预测的极端天气事件破坏了基础设施,威胁着环北极地区居民的生计。当地的应对措施富有创造性且灵活多变。然而,后苏联时期西伯利亚和阿拉斯加独特的政治格局在战略规划的务实性方面发挥着关键作用。北极是全球气候的驱动因素,但在无冰的未来也蕴藏着大量资源,这使得“环境”目标与“发展”目标之间产生了紧张关系。基于来自西伯利亚和阿拉斯加的资料,我们认为:(i)北极地区的极端事件正变得常态化;物质需求处于不断变化的状态,难以评估未来的物质需求。我们必须在考虑减少物质使用的同时,也要考虑物质替代;(ii)应考虑地方层面的应对策略。核心/边缘思维往往认为答案来自“中心”;在我们看来,这种观点是有局限性的;(iii)我们建议“灵活性”可能会成为一项核心生存价值,这对城市规划者和公共卫生官员而言与对西伯利亚驯鹿牧民一样重要。在此,我们不仅看到了同时需要缓解和适应政策,还看到了为提升年轻人这方面能力而做出的协同努力。本文是主题为“减少物质需求”的特刊的一部分。

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