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饮酒与冠心病死亡率:队列研究的最新荟萃分析

Alcohol Consumption and Mortality From Coronary Heart Disease: An Updated Meta-Analysis of Cohort Studies.

作者信息

Zhao Jinhui, Stockwell Tim, Roemer Audra, Naimi Timothy, Chikritzhs Tanya

机构信息

Centre for Addictions Research of BC, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.

Department of Psychology, University of Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.

出版信息

J Stud Alcohol Drugs. 2017 May;78(3):375-386. doi: 10.15288/jsad.2017.78.375.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Previous meta-analyses estimate that low-volume alcohol consumption protects against coronary heart disease (CHD). Potential errors in studies include systematic misclassification of drinkers as abstainers, inadequate measurement, and selection bias across the life course.

METHOD

Prospective studies of alcohol consumption and CHD mortality were identified in scholarly databases and reference lists. Studies were coded for potential abstainer biases and other study characteristics. The alcohol-CHD risk relationship was estimated in mixed models with controls for potential biases. Stratified analyses were performed based on variables identified as potential effect modifiers.

RESULTS

Fully adjusted meta-analysis of all 45 studies found significantly reduced CHD mortality for current low-volume drinkers (relative risk [RR] = 0.80, 95% CI [0.69, 0.93]) and all current drinkers (RR = 0.88, 95% CI [0.78, 0.99]). There was evidence of effect modification by cohort age, gender, ethnicity, and heart health at baseline. In stratified analyses, low-volume consumption was not significantly protective for cohorts ages 55 years or younger at baseline (RR = 0.95, 95% CI [0.75, 1.21]), for studies controlling for heart health (RR = 0.87, 95% CI [0.71, 1.06]), or for higher quality studies (RR = 0.86, 95% CI [0.68, 1.09]). In studies in which the mean age was 55 years or younger at baseline, there were significantly increased RRs for both former (RR = 1.45, 95% CI [1.08, 1.95]) and occasional drinkers (RR = 1.44, 95% CI [1.09, 1.89]) compared with abstainers.

CONCLUSIONS

Pooled analysis of all identified studies suggested an association between alcohol use and reduced CHD risk. However, this association was not observed in studies of those age 55 years or younger at baseline, in higher quality studies, or in studies that controlled for heart health. The appearance of cardio-protection among older people may reflect systematic selection biases that accumulate over the life course.

摘要

目的

以往的荟萃分析估计,少量饮酒可预防冠心病(CHD)。研究中的潜在错误包括将饮酒者误分类为戒酒者、测量不充分以及整个生命过程中的选择偏倚。

方法

在学术数据库和参考文献列表中确定了关于饮酒与冠心病死亡率的前瞻性研究。对研究进行编码以确定潜在的戒酒者偏倚和其他研究特征。在混合模型中估计饮酒与冠心病风险的关系,并对潜在偏倚进行控制。根据确定为潜在效应修饰因素的变量进行分层分析。

结果

对所有45项研究进行的完全调整后的荟萃分析发现,当前少量饮酒者的冠心病死亡率显著降低(相对风险[RR]=0.80,95%可信区间[0.69,0.93]),所有当前饮酒者的冠心病死亡率也显著降低(RR=0.88,95%可信区间[0.78,0.99])。有证据表明,队列年龄、性别、种族和基线时的心脏健康状况存在效应修饰。在分层分析中,对于基线时年龄在55岁及以下的队列(RR=0.95,95%可信区间[0.75,1.21])、控制了心脏健康状况的研究(RR=0.87,95%可信区间[0.71,1.06])或高质量研究(RR=0.86,95%可信区间[0.68,1.09]),少量饮酒并没有显著的保护作用。在基线时平均年龄为55岁及以下的研究中,与戒酒者相比,既往饮酒者(RR=1.45,95%可信区间[1.08,1.95])和偶尔饮酒者(RR=1.44,95%可信区间[1.09,1.89])的RR均显著增加。

结论

对所有已确定研究的汇总分析表明,饮酒与降低冠心病风险之间存在关联。然而,在基线时年龄在55岁及以下的人群、高质量研究或控制了心脏健康状况的研究中,未观察到这种关联。老年人中心脏保护作用的出现可能反映了整个生命过程中积累的系统性选择偏倚。

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