Grimsö Wildlife Research Station, Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, SE-730 91, Riddarhyttan, Sweden.
Research Unit of Biodiversity (UO/CSIC/PA), Oviedo University, Gonzalo Gutiérrez Quirós s/n, 33600, Mieres, Spain.
Sci Rep. 2017 May 18;7(1):2097. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-02323-w.
Successful coexistence between large carnivores and humans is conditional upon effective mitigation of the impact of these species on humans, such as through livestock depredation. It is therefore essential for conservation practitioners, carnivore managing authorities, or livestock owners to know the effectiveness of interventions intended to reduce livestock predation by large carnivores. We reviewed the scientific literature (1990-2016), searching for evidence of the effectiveness of interventions. We found experimental and quasi-experimental studies were rare within the field, and only 21 studies applied a case-control study design (3.7% of reviewed publications). We used a relative risk ratio to evaluate the studied interventions: changing livestock type, keeping livestock in enclosures, guarding or livestock guarding dogs, predator removal, using shock collars on carnivores, sterilizing carnivores, and using visual or auditory deterrents to frighten carnivores. Although there was a general lack of scientific evidence of the effectiveness of any of these interventions, some interventions reduced the risk of depredation whereas other interventions did not result in reduced depredation. We urge managers and stakeholders to move towards an evidence-based large carnivore management practice and researchers to conduct studies of intervention effectiveness with a randomized case-control design combined with systematic reviewing to evaluate the evidence.
大型食肉动物与人类共存的成功与否,取决于能否有效减轻这些物种对人类的影响,例如控制牲畜被捕食的情况。因此,保护工作者、管理大型食肉动物的机构或牲畜所有者必须了解旨在减少大型食肉动物捕食牲畜的干预措施的有效性。我们查阅了 1990 年至 2016 年的科学文献,以寻找干预措施有效性的证据。我们发现,该领域内的实验和准实验研究非常罕见,只有 21 项研究采用了病例对照研究设计(占审查文献的 3.7%)。我们使用相对风险比来评估所研究的干预措施:改变牲畜类型、将牲畜圈养、看守或使用牧犬、移除捕食者、给食肉动物戴上电击项圈、对食肉动物进行绝育、使用视觉或听觉威慑物来吓唬食肉动物。尽管这些干预措施中没有任何一种的有效性有充分的科学证据,但一些干预措施确实降低了捕食风险,而其他干预措施则没有减少捕食。我们敦促管理者和利益相关者朝着基于证据的大型食肉动物管理实践方向发展,并呼吁研究人员采用随机对照病例设计进行干预有效性研究,并结合系统评价来评估证据。