Blackburn Henry
Am J Epidemiol. 2017 Jun 1;185(11):1143-1147. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwx071.
In a 1986 article (Am J Epidemiol. 1986;124(6):903-915), Keys et al. described and discussed 15-year findings from 15 cohorts of the Seven Countries Study (SCS), the first systematic study of diet, risk characteristics, disease-specific death rates, and their ecologic and individual associations both among and within whole populations of working men in regions with contrasting traditional diets. The SCS findings included 30-fold cohort differences in rates of death from coronary heart disease and 3-fold differences in rates of death from all causes, along with strong ecologic associations among diet, risk factors, and disease rates. These results have motivated a generation of causal research conducted using bench, clinical, and population strategies. The study has contributed to survey methods, preventive practice, nutrition science, and policy on health, food and agriculture, and diet. The article is a succinct and accessible account by Ancel Keys, near the end of his long career, of the SCS design, conduct, and findings, with his discussion and interpretation of their importance. My commentary deals with the extent, validity, and historical meaning of SCS findings, as well as their influence and the influence of the 1986 article itself on epidemiologic thought and on public health. Students of epidemiology and of history should read this rich original source.
在1986年发表的一篇文章(《美国流行病学杂志》。1986年;124(6):903 - 915)中,基斯等人描述并讨论了七国研究(SCS)15个队列的15年研究结果。七国研究是对饮食习惯、风险特征、特定疾病死亡率及其在传统饮食差异显著地区的在职男性总体人群内部及之间的生态和个体关联进行的首次系统性研究。七国研究的结果包括冠心病死亡率队列间30倍的差异以及全因死亡率3倍的差异,同时饮食、风险因素和疾病发生率之间存在很强的生态关联。这些结果推动了一代使用基础研究、临床研究和人群研究策略进行的因果关系研究。该研究对调查方法、预防实践、营养科学以及健康、食品与农业和饮食政策都有贡献。这篇文章是安塞尔·基斯在其漫长职业生涯接近尾声时对七国研究的设计、实施和结果进行的简洁易懂的阐述,以及他对其重要性的讨论和解读。我的评论涉及七国研究结果的范围、有效性和历史意义,以及它们的影响和1986年这篇文章本身对流行病学思想和公共卫生的影响。流行病学和历史专业的学生应该阅读这一丰富的原始资料。