Birgisdóttir Kristín Helga, Jónsson Stefán Hrafn, Ásgeirsdóttir Tinna Laufey
Faculty of Economics, University of Iceland, Oddi v/Sturlugotu, 101, Reykjavik, Iceland.
Faculty of Social and Human Sciences, University of Iceland, Oddi v/Sturlugotu, 101, Reykjavik, Iceland.
Health Econ Rev. 2017 Dec;7(1):20. doi: 10.1186/s13561-017-0157-3. Epub 2017 May 23.
Previous research has found a positive short-term relationship between the 2008 collapse and hypertension in Icelandic males. With Iceland's economy experiencing a phase of economic recovery, an opportunity to pursue a longer-term analysis of the collapse has emerged. Using data from a nationally representative sample, fixed-effect estimations and mediation analyses were performed to explore the relationship between the Icelandic economic collapse in 2008 and the longer-term impact on hypertension and cardiovascular health. A sensitivity analysis was carried out with pooled logit models estimated as well as an alternative dependent variable. Our attrition analysis revealed that results for cardiovascular diseases were affected by attrition, but not results from estimations on the relationship between the economic crisis and hypertension. When compared to the boom year 2007, our results point to an increased probability of Icelandic women having hypertension in the year 2012, when the Icelandic economy had recovered substantially from the economic collapse in 2008. This represents a deviation from pre-crisis trends, thus suggesting a true economic-recovery impact on hypertension.
先前的研究发现，2008年冰岛经济崩溃与冰岛男性患高血压之间存在短期正相关关系。随着冰岛经济进入经济复苏阶段，出现了对此次经济崩溃进行长期分析的机会。利用全国代表性样本的数据，进行了固定效应估计和中介分析，以探讨2008年冰岛经济崩溃与对高血压和心血管健康的长期影响之间的关系。使用合并逻辑模型估计以及替代因变量进行了敏感性分析。我们的损耗分析表明，心血管疾病的结果受到损耗的影响，但经济危机与高血压之间关系的估计结果不受影响。与繁荣的2007年相比，我们的结果表明，在2012年冰岛经济已从2008年的经济崩溃中大幅复苏时，冰岛女性患高血压的概率增加。这与危机前的趋势有所偏差，从而表明经济复苏对高血压有真实影响。
