Jin Chong, Li Ruiying, Kang Rui
School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, China.
Science and Technology on Reliability and Environmental Engineering Laboratory, Beijing, China.
PLoS One. 2017 May 17;12(5):e0177668. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0177668. eCollection 2017.
Resilience, the ability to withstand disruptions and recover quickly, must be considered during system design because any disruption of the system may cause considerable loss, including economic and societal. This work develops analytic maximum flow-based resilience models for series and parallel systems using Zobel's resilience measure. The two analytic models can be used to evaluate quantitatively and compare the resilience of the systems with the corresponding performance structures. For systems with identical components, the resilience of the parallel system increases with increasing number of components, while the resilience remains constant in the series system. A Monte Carlo-based simulation method is also provided to verify the correctness of our analytic resilience models and to analyze the resilience of networked systems based on that of components. A road network example is used to illustrate the analysis process, and the resilience comparison among networks with different topologies but the same components indicates that a system with redundant performance is usually more resilient than one without redundant performance. However, not all redundant capacities of components can improve the system resilience, the effectiveness of the capacity redundancy depends on where the redundant capacity is located.
恢复力,即承受干扰并迅速恢复的能力,在系统设计过程中必须予以考虑,因为系统的任何干扰都可能导致包括经济和社会方面的重大损失。这项工作使用佐贝尔的恢复力度量方法,为串联和并联系统开发了基于最大流分析的恢复力模型。这两个分析模型可用于定量评估并比较具有相应性能结构的系统的恢复力。对于具有相同组件的系统,并联系统的恢复力随着组件数量的增加而增加,而串联系统的恢复力保持不变。还提供了一种基于蒙特卡洛的模拟方法,以验证我们分析恢复力模型的正确性,并基于组件的恢复力来分析网络系统的恢复力。以道路网络为例来说明分析过程,不同拓扑结构但组件相同的网络之间的恢复力比较表明,具有冗余性能的系统通常比没有冗余性能的系统更具恢复力。然而,并非组件的所有冗余容量都能提高系统恢复力,容量冗余的有效性取决于冗余容量的位置。