Grimm Volker, Uchmański Janusz
Department of Ecological Modelling, UFZ Centre for Environmental Research Leipzig-Halle, P.O. Box 500 136, 04301, Leipzig, Germany.
Institute of Ecology, Polish Academy of Sciences, 05-092, Łomianki, Poland.
Oecologia. 2002 Apr;131(2):196-202. doi: 10.1007/s00442-002-0875-y. Epub 2002 Apr 1.
Most models of theoretical population ecology consider population density as a state variable and thus ignore the fact that populations are composed not of identical average individuals but of individuals which are usually different. However, this individual variability may be important for population regulation. We therefore analysed an individual-based population model which explicitly describes within-generation processes, i.e. individual growth, starvation, and resource dynamics. The results show that if population dynamics are dominated by slow changes in resource level, the population size in the model undergoes wide oscillation, often leading to extinction. If, on the other hand, fast within-generation processes predominate, such as starvation and sudden drops in resource levels, the population fluctuates to a limited extent around an average. Within-generation density dependence may thus be an important mechanism which is largely ignored in classic time-discrete state-variable models. We conclude that the individual-based approach provides important insights into the hierarchical organization of population dynamics, i.e. the relationship between fast processes at the individual level and slower processes at the population level.
大多数理论种群生态学模型将种群密度视为一个状态变量,因此忽略了种群并非由完全相同的平均个体组成,而是由通常存在差异的个体组成这一事实。然而,这种个体变异性对于种群调节可能很重要。因此,我们分析了一个基于个体的种群模型,该模型明确描述了代内过程,即个体生长、饥饿和资源动态。结果表明,如果种群动态主要由资源水平的缓慢变化主导,模型中的种群数量会经历大幅振荡,常常导致灭绝。另一方面,如果快速的代内过程占主导,如饥饿和资源水平的突然下降,种群数量会在平均值附近有限波动。代内密度依赖性可能是一个重要机制,而在经典的时间离散状态变量模型中很大程度上被忽视了。我们得出结论,基于个体的方法为种群动态的层次组织提供了重要见解,即个体层面的快速过程与种群层面的较慢过程之间的关系。