Conti Sara, Lafranconi Alessandra, Zanobetti Antonella, Cesana Giancarlo, Madotto Fabiana, Fornari Carla
Research Center on Public Health, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Villa Serena, via Pergolesi, 33, I-20900 Monza, MB, Italy.
Research Center on Public Health, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Villa Serena, via Pergolesi, 33, I-20900 Monza, MB, Italy.
Environ Res. 2017 Aug;157:145-152. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2017.05.029. Epub 2017 May 27.
The association between particulate matter < 10µm in aerodynamic diameter (PM) and mild disease episodes, not leading to hospitalization or death, has been rarely investigated. We studied the short-term effect of PM on purchases of specific cardiorespiratory medications, as proxies of mild episodes, in 7 small- and medium-sized cities of Northern Italy, during 2005-2006.
We extracted information on purchased prescriptions from healthcare administrative databases, and we obtained daily PM concentrations from fixed monitoring stations. We applied a time-stratified case-crossover design, using the time-series of antidiabetic drugs purchases to control for confounding due to irregularities in daily purchase frequencies.
During the warm season, we estimated a delayed (lags 2-6) increased risk of buying glucocorticoid (4.53%, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 2.62, 6.48) and adrenergic inhalants (1.66%, 95% CI: 0.10, 3.24), following an increment (10μg/m) in PM concentration. During the cold season, we observed an immediate (lags 0-1) increased risk of purchasing antiarrhythmics (0.76%; 95% CI: 0.16, 1.36) and vasodilators (0.72%; 95% CI: 0.30, 1.13), followed by a risk reduction (lags 2-6), probably due to harvesting.
Focusing on drug purchases, we reached sufficient statistical power to study PM effect outside large urban areas and conclude that short-term increments in PM concentrations might cause mild cardiorespiratory disease episodes.
空气动力学直径小于10微米的颗粒物(PM)与未导致住院或死亡的轻度疾病发作之间的关联鲜有研究。我们于2005年至2006年期间,在意大利北部的7个中小城市中,研究了PM对特定心肺药物购买量的短期影响,以此作为轻度疾病发作的指标。
我们从医疗管理数据库中提取了购买处方信息,并从固定监测站获取了每日PM浓度。我们采用时间分层病例交叉设计,利用抗糖尿病药物购买时间序列来控制因每日购买频率不规则导致的混杂因素。
在温暖季节,我们估计,PM浓度每增加10μg/m³,购买糖皮质激素(4.53%,95%置信区间(CI):2.62,6.48)和肾上腺素能吸入剂(1.66%,95%CI:0.10,3.24)的风险会在滞后2至6天增加。在寒冷季节,我们观察到购买抗心律失常药物(0.76%;95%CI:0.16,1.36)和血管扩张剂(0.72%;95%CI:0.30,1.13)的风险在滞后期0至1天立即增加,随后风险降低(滞后2至6天),这可能是由于收获效应。
聚焦于药物购买情况,我们有足够的统计效力来研究大城市以外地区的PM影响,并得出结论:PM浓度的短期增加可能会引发轻度心肺疾病发作。