Danielsson Borssén Åsa, Marschall Hanns-Ulrich, Bergquist Annika, Rorsman Fredrik, Weiland Ola, Kechagias Stergios, Nyhlin Nils, Verbaan Hans, Nilsson Emma, Werner Mårten
a Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine , Umeå University , Umeå , Sweden.
b Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine , Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg , Göteborg , Sweden.
Scand J Gastroenterol. 2017 Sep;52(9):1022-1028. doi: 10.1080/00365521.2017.1335772. Epub 2017 May 31.
Epidemiological studies of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) show varying figures on prevalence and incidence, and data on the long-term prognosis are scarce. Objective To investigate the epidemiology, long-term prognosis and causes of death in a Swedish AIH cohort.
Data collected from 634 AIH patients were matched to the Cause of Death Registry, and survival analyses were made. Prevalence and incidence were calculated for university hospitals with full coverage of cases and compared to the County of Västerbotten in Northern Sweden.
AIH point prevalence was 17.3/100,000 inhabitants in 2009, and the yearly incidence 1990-2009 was 1.2/100,000 inhabitants and year. The time between diagnosis and end of follow-up, liver transplantation or death was in median 11.3 years (range 0-51.5 years). Men were diagnosed earlier (p < .001) and died younger than women (p = .002). No gender differences were found concerning transplant-free, overall survival and liver-related death. Cirrhosis at diagnosis was linked to an inferior survival (p < .001). Liver-related death was the most common cause of death (32.7%). The relative survival started to diverge from the general population 4 years after diagnosis but a distinct decline was not observed until after more than 10 years.
Long-term survival was reduced in patients with AIH. No gender difference regarding prognosis was seen but men died younger, probably as a result of earlier onset of disease. Cirrhosis at diagnosis was a risk factor for poor prognosis and the overall risk of liver-related death was increased.
自身免疫性肝炎(AIH)的流行病学研究显示,其患病率和发病率的数据各不相同,且关于长期预后的数据稀缺。目的:调查瑞典AIH队列的流行病学、长期预后及死亡原因。
收集634例AIH患者的数据,并与死亡原因登记处进行匹配,进行生存分析。计算病例全覆盖的大学医院的患病率和发病率,并与瑞典北部的韦斯特博滕县进行比较。
2009年AIH的点患病率为每10万居民17.3例,1990 - 2009年的年发病率为每10万居民每年1.2例。从诊断到随访结束、肝移植或死亡的时间中位数为11.3年(范围0 - 51.5年)。男性诊断较早(p < 0.001),且比女性死亡更早(p = 0.002)。在无移植的总体生存和肝脏相关死亡方面未发现性别差异。诊断时的肝硬化与较差的生存率相关(p < 0.001)。肝脏相关死亡是最常见的死亡原因(32.7%)。相对生存率在诊断后4年开始与普通人群出现差异,但直到10多年后才观察到明显下降。
AIH患者的长期生存率降低。在预后方面未观察到性别差异,但男性死亡更早,可能是由于疾病发病更早。诊断时的肝硬化是预后不良的危险因素,且肝脏相关死亡的总体风险增加。