Light Michael T
Department of Sociology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, United States.
Soc Sci Res. 2017 Jul;65:222-239. doi: 10.1016/j.ssresearch.2017.03.005. Epub 2017 Mar 24.
Whether immigration increases crime has long been a source of political debate and scholarly interest. Despite widespread public opinion to the contrary, the weight of evidence suggests the most recent wave of U.S. immigration has not increased crime, and may have actually helped reduce criminal violence. However, with recent shifts in immigrant settlement patterns away from traditional receiving destinations, a series of contemporary studies suggests a more complicated immigration-crime relationship, whereby Latino immigration is said to increase violence in newer immigrant destinations (but not in established destinations) and has varied effects for different racial/ethnic groups. With few exceptions, these more recent studies rely on cross-sectional analyses, thus limiting their ability to examine the longitudinal nexus between Latino immigration and violent crime. This study brings to bear the first longitudinal data set to test the relationship between immigration and racial/ethnic homicide in U.S. metropolitan areas between 1990 and 2010. Results from bivariate longitudinal associations and multivariate fixed effects models are contrary to recent findings - Latino immigration is generally associated with decreases in homicide victimization for whites, blacks, and Hispanics in both established and non-established immigrant destinations, though these associations are not significant in all cases.
移民是否会增加犯罪一直是政治辩论和学术关注的焦点。尽管公众普遍持相反观点,但证据表明,美国最近一波移民潮并未增加犯罪率,实际上可能有助于减少刑事暴力。然而,随着近期移民定居模式从传统接收地转移,一系列当代研究表明移民与犯罪之间的关系更为复杂,即拉丁裔移民据说会在新的移民目的地增加暴力犯罪(但在已有的目的地不会),并且对不同种族/族裔群体有不同影响。除了少数例外,这些最新研究依赖横断面分析,因此限制了它们检验拉丁裔移民与暴力犯罪之间纵向联系的能力。本研究首次运用纵向数据集来检验1990年至2010年间美国大都市地区移民与种族/族裔凶杀案之间的关系。双变量纵向关联和多变量固定效应模型的结果与近期研究结果相反——在已有的和新的移民目的地,拉丁裔移民通常与白人、黑人和西班牙裔凶杀案受害率的下降有关,尽管这些关联在所有情况下并不都显著。