Baumer Eric P, Xie Min
Department of Sociology and Criminology, Pennsylvania State University.
Department of Criminology and Criminal Justice, University of Maryland.
Criminol Public Policy. 2023 Aug;22(3):417-455. doi: 10.1111/1745-9133.12619. Epub 2023 Mar 14.
Our understanding of how immigration enforcement impacts crime has been informed by data from the police crime statistics. This study complements existing research by using longitudinal multilevel data from the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) for 2005-2014 to simultaneously assess the impact of the three predominant immigration policies that have been implemented in local communities. The results indicate that the activation of Secure Communities and 287(g) task force agreements significantly increased violent victimization risk among Latinos, whereas they showed no evident impact on victimization risk among non-Latino Whites and Blacks. The activation of 287(g) jail enforcement agreements and anti-detainer policies had no significant impact on violent victimization risk during the period.
Contrary to their stated purpose of enhancing public safety, our results show that the Secure Communities program and 287(g) task force agreements did not reduce crime, but instead eroded security in American communities by increasing the likelihood that Latinos experienced violent victimization. These results support the Federal government's ending of 287(g) task force agreements and its more recent move to end the Secure Communities program. Additionally, the results of our study add to the evidence challenging claims that anti-detainer policies pose a threat to violence risk.
我们对移民执法如何影响犯罪的理解一直受到警方犯罪统计数据的影响。本研究通过使用2005年至2014年全国犯罪受害情况调查(NCVS)的纵向多层次数据,对地方社区实施的三项主要移民政策的影响进行同步评估,以此补充现有研究。结果表明,“安全社区”计划和287(g)特遣部队协议的启动显著增加了拉丁裔遭受暴力侵害的风险,而对非拉丁裔白人和黑人的受害风险没有明显影响。在此期间,287(g)监狱执法协议和反拘留政策的启动对暴力受害风险没有显著影响。
与它们声称的加强公共安全的目的相反,我们的结果表明,“安全社区”计划和287(g)特遣部队协议并没有减少犯罪,反而通过增加拉丁裔遭受暴力侵害的可能性,削弱了美国社区的安全。这些结果支持联邦政府终止287(g)特遣部队协议以及最近终止 “安全社区” 计划的举措。此外,我们的研究结果进一步证明,那些声称反拘留政策对暴力风险构成威胁的说法是站不住脚的。