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激素替代疗法与乳腺癌生存率:观察性研究的系统评价与荟萃分析

Hormone replacement therapy and breast cancer survival: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies.

作者信息

Yu Xinnian, Zhou Siying, Wang Jinyan, Zhang Qian, Hou Junchen, Zhu Lingping, He Yunjie, Zhao Jianhua, Zhong Shanliang

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, Jiangsu Cancer Hospital & Jiangsu Institute of Cancer Research, Nanjing, 210009, China.

Department of Internal Medicine, Nanjing Medical University Affiliated Cancer Hospital, Nanjing, 210009, China.

出版信息

Breast Cancer. 2017 Sep;24(5):643-657. doi: 10.1007/s12282-017-0789-5. Epub 2017 Jun 10.

Abstract

Previous studies on the association between hormone replacement therapy (HRT) and breast cancer survival have yielded mixed results. We aimed to perform a meta-analysis to assess the association with all available studies. Relevant studies were identified by searching PubMed and EMBASE to April 2017. We calculated the summary hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using random-effects models. The dose-response relationship was assessed by random-effects meta-analysis and dose-response meta-regression models. Forty cohort studies and two case-control studies involving 1,756,833 participants were included. The results showed that prediagnosis HRT use was associated with decreased risk of dying from breast cancer (HR = 0.88, 95% CI 0.81-0.97) or any cause (HR = 0.79, 95% CI 0.69-0.90). Postdiagnosis HRT use also showed a beneficial effect on breast cancer survival. In the subgroup analyses, we found that patients who were current users at diagnosis or who received combined hormone therapy before diagnosis seemed to show more benefit from HRT use. In dose-response analysis, we observed a linear relationship between prediagnosis HRT and breast cancer-specific mortality and a 1-year increment in duration of exposure to HRT conferred an HR of 0.99 (95% CI 0.98-1.00) for death from breast cancer. In conclusion, the average effect of HRT use seems not harmful to breast cancer survival. Nevertheless, this effect of HRT use is needed for further assessment.

摘要

先前关于激素替代疗法(HRT)与乳腺癌生存率之间关联的研究结果不一。我们旨在进行一项荟萃分析,以评估与所有现有研究的关联。通过检索截至2017年4月的PubMed和EMBASE来确定相关研究。我们使用随机效应模型计算汇总风险比(HRs)和95%置信区间(CIs)。通过随机效应荟萃分析和剂量反应荟萃回归模型评估剂量反应关系。纳入了40项队列研究和2项病例对照研究,涉及1,756,833名参与者。结果表明,诊断前使用HRT与死于乳腺癌(HR = 0.88,95% CI 0.81 - 0.97)或任何原因(HR = 0.79,95% CI 0.69 - 0.90)的风险降低相关。诊断后使用HRT对乳腺癌生存率也显示出有益效果。在亚组分析中,我们发现诊断时为当前使用者或诊断前接受联合激素治疗的患者似乎从使用HRT中获益更多。在剂量反应分析中,我们观察到诊断前HRT与乳腺癌特异性死亡率之间存在线性关系,HRT暴露时间每增加1年,死于乳腺癌的HR为0.99(95% CI 0.98 - 1.00)。总之,使用HRT的平均效果似乎对乳腺癌生存率无害。然而,HRT使用的这种效果需要进一步评估。

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