de Carvalho Rocha Werickson Fortunato, Schantz Michele M, Sheen David A, Chu Pamela M, Lippa Katrice A
Division of Chemical Metrology, National Institute of Metrology, Quality and Technology (INMETRO), 25250-020 Duque de Caxias, RJ, Brazil.
Chemical Sciences Division, National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), Gaithersburg, MD 20899, USA.
Fuel (Lond). 2017 Jun 1;197:248-258. doi: 10.1016/j.fuel.2017.02.025. Epub 2017 Feb 23.
As feedstocks transition from conventional oil to unconventional petroleum sources and biomass, it will be necessary to determine whether a particular fuel or fuel blend is suitable for use in engines. Certifying a fuel as safe for use is time-consuming and expensive and must be performed for each new fuel. In principle, suitability of a fuel should be completely determined by its chemical composition. This composition can be probed through use of detailed analytical techniques such as gas chromatography-mass spectroscopy (GC-MS). In traditional analysis, chromatograms would be used to determine the details of the composition. In the approach taken in this paper, the chromatogram is assumed to be entirely representative of the composition of a fuel, and is used directly as the input to an algorithm in order to develop a model that is predictive of a fuel's suitability. When a new fuel is proposed for service, its suitability for any application could then be ascertained by using this model to compare its chromatogram with those of the fuels already known to be suitable for that application. In this paper, we lay the mathematical and informatics groundwork for a predictive model of hydrocarbon properties. The objective of this work was to develop a reliable model for unsupervised classification of the hydrocarbons as a prelude to developing a predictive model of their engine-relevant physical and chemical properties. A set of hydrocarbons including biodiesel fuels, gasoline, highway and marine diesel fuels, and crude oils was collected and GC-MS profiles obtained. These profiles were then analyzed using multi-way principal components analysis (MPCA), principal factors analysis (PARAFAC), and a self-organizing map (SOM), which is a kind of artificial neural network. It was found that, while MPCA and PARAFAC were able to recover descriptive models of the fuels, their linear nature obscured some of the finer physical details due to the widely varying composition of the fuels. The SOM was able to find a descriptive classification model which has the potential for practical recognition and perhaps prediction of fuel properties.
随着原料从传统石油向非常规石油资源和生物质转变,有必要确定一种特定的燃料或燃料混合物是否适合在发动机中使用。认证一种燃料安全可用既耗时又昂贵,而且每种新燃料都必须进行此项认证。原则上,一种燃料的适用性应由其化学成分完全决定。这种成分可以通过使用详细的分析技术,如气相色谱 - 质谱联用(GC - MS)来探测。在传统分析中,色谱图将用于确定成分的细节。在本文所采用的方法中,假定色谱图完全代表一种燃料的成分,并直接用作算法的输入,以便开发一个能够预测燃料适用性的模型。当一种新燃料被提议投入使用时,通过使用这个模型将其色谱图与已知适用于该应用的燃料的色谱图进行比较,就可以确定其对任何应用的适用性。在本文中,我们为烃类性质的预测模型奠定了数学和信息学基础。这项工作的目标是开发一个可靠的模型,用于对烃类进行无监督分类,作为开发其与发动机相关的物理和化学性质预测模型的前奏。收集了一组烃类,包括生物柴油燃料、汽油、公路和船用柴油燃料以及原油,并获得了GC - MS谱图。然后使用多向主成分分析(MPCA)、主因子分析(PARAFAC)和自组织映射(SOM,一种人工神经网络)对这些谱图进行分析。结果发现,虽然MPCA和PARAFAC能够恢复燃料的描述性模型,但由于燃料成分差异很大,它们的线性性质掩盖了一些更细微的物理细节。SOM能够找到一个描述性分类模型,该模型具有实际识别甚至预测燃料性质的潜力。