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莫桑比克死产儿和新生儿死因判定中微创尸检的有效性:一项观察性研究。

Validity of a minimally invasive autopsy for cause of death determination in stillborn babies and neonates in Mozambique: An observational study.

作者信息

Menendez Clara, Castillo Paola, Martínez Miguel J, Jordao Dercio, Lovane Lucilia, Ismail Mamudo R, Carrilho Carla, Lorenzoni Cesaltina, Fernandes Fabiola, Nhampossa Tacilta, Hurtado Juan Carlos, Navarro Mireia, Casas Isaac, Santos Ritchie Paula, Bandeira Sonia, Mocumbi Sibone, Jaze Zara, Mabota Flora, Munguambe Khátia, Maixenchs Maria, Sanz Ariadna, Mandomando Inacio, Nadal Alfons, Goncé Anna, Muñoz-Almagro Carmen, Quintó Llorenç, Vila Jordi, Macete Eusebio, Alonso Pedro, Ordi Jaume, Bassat Quique

机构信息

ISGlobal, Barcelona Centre for International Health Research (CRESIB), Hospital Clinic of Barcelona, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.

Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.

出版信息

PLoS Med. 2017 Jun 20;14(6):e1002318. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002318. eCollection 2017 Jun.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Over 5 million stillbirths and neonatal deaths occur annually. Limited and imprecise information on the cause of these deaths hampers progress in achieving global health targets. Complete diagnostic autopsies (CDAs)-the gold standard for cause of death determination-are difficult to perform in most high-burden settings. Therefore, validation of simpler and more feasible methods is needed.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

In this observational study, the validity of a minimally invasive autopsy (MIA) method in determining the cause of death was assessed in 18 stillbirths and 41 neonatal deaths by comparing the results of the MIA with those of the CDA. Concordance between the categories of diseases obtained by the 2 methods was assessed by the Kappa statistic, and the sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive values of the MIA diagnoses were calculated. A cause of death was identified in 16/18 (89%) and 15/18 (83%) stillborn babies in the CDA and the MIA, respectively. Fetal growth restriction accounted for 39%, infectious diseases for 22%, intrapartum hypoxia for 17%, and intrauterine hypoxia for 11% of stillborn babies. Overall, the MIA showed in this group a substantial concordance with the CDA (Kappa = 0.78, 95% CI [0.56-0.99]). A cause of death was identified in all (100%) and 35/41 (85%) neonatal deaths in the CDA and the MIA, respectively. In this group, the majority of deaths were due to infectious diseases (66%). The overall concordance of the MIA with the CDA in neonates was moderate (Kappa = 0.40, 95% CI [0.18-0.63]). A high percentage of accuracy was observed for the MIA in all the diagnostic categories in both stillbirths and neonates (>75%). The main limitation of this study is that some degree of subjective interpretation is inherent to cause-of-death attribution in both the MIA and the CDA; this is especially so in stillbirths and in relation to fetal growth restriction.

CONCLUSIONS

The MIA could be a useful tool for cause-of-death determination in stillbirths and neonatal deaths. These findings may help to accelerate progress towards meeting global health targets by obtaining more accurate information on the causes of death in these age groups, which is essential in guiding the design of new interventions and increasing the effectiveness of those already implemented.

摘要

背景

每年有超过500万例死产和新生儿死亡。关于这些死亡原因的信息有限且不准确,这阻碍了实现全球卫生目标的进程。完整诊断性尸检(CDA)——确定死亡原因的金标准——在大多数高负担地区难以实施。因此,需要对更简单、更可行的方法进行验证。

方法与结果

在这项观察性研究中,通过比较微创尸检(MIA)与CDA的结果,评估了MIA方法在确定18例死产和41例新生儿死亡原因方面的有效性。通过Kappa统计量评估两种方法获得的疾病类别之间的一致性,并计算MIA诊断的敏感性、特异性、阳性和阴性预测值。在CDA和MIA中,分别有16/18(89%)和15/18(83%)的死产婴儿确定了死亡原因。胎儿生长受限占死产婴儿的39%,传染病占22%,产时缺氧占17%,宫内缺氧占11%。总体而言,MIA在该组中与CDA显示出高度一致性(Kappa = 0.78,95% CI [0.56 - 0.99])。在CDA和MIA中,分别有所有(100%)和35/41(85%)的新生儿死亡确定了死亡原因。在该组中,大多数死亡是由传染病导致的(66%)。MIA与CDA在新生儿中的总体一致性为中等(Kappa = 0.40,95% CI [0.18 - 0.63])。在死产和新生儿的所有诊断类别中,MIA的准确率都很高(>75%)。本研究的主要局限性在于,MIA和CDA在死因归因中都存在一定程度的主观解释;在死产以及与胎儿生长受限相关的情况中尤其如此。

结论

MIA可能是确定死产和新生儿死亡原因的有用工具。这些发现可能有助于通过获取关于这些年龄组死亡原因的更准确信息来加速实现全球卫生目标的进程,这对于指导新干预措施的设计和提高已实施措施的有效性至关重要。

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