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加拿大安大略省一场马术表演中马匹接触网络的描述性和网络分析及其对疾病传播的影响。

Descriptive and network analyses of the equine contact network at an equestrian show in Ontario, Canada and implications for disease spread.

作者信息

Spence Kelsey L, O'Sullivan Terri L, Poljak Zvonimir, Greer Amy L

机构信息

Department of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, N1G 2W1, Canada.

出版信息

BMC Vet Res. 2017 Jun 21;13(1):191. doi: 10.1186/s12917-017-1103-7.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Identifying the contact structure within a population of horses attending a competition is an important element towards understanding the potential for the spread of equine pathogens as the horses subsequently travel from location to location. However, there is limited information in Ontario, Canada to quantify contact patterns of horses. The objective of this study was to describe the network of potential contacts associated with an equestrian show to determine how this network structure may influence potential disease transmission.

RESULTS

This was a descriptive study of horses attending an equestrian show in southern Ontario, Canada on July 6 and 7, 2014. Horse show participants completed a questionnaire about their horse, travel patterns, and infection control practices. Questionnaire responses were received from horse owners of 79.7% (55/69) of the horses attending the show. Owners reported that horses attending the show were vaccinated for diseases such as rabies, equine influenza, and equine herpesvirus. Owners demonstrated high compliance with most infection control practices by reporting reduced opportunities for direct and indirect contact while away from home. The two-mode undirected network consisted of 820 nodes (41 locations and 779 horses). Eight percent of nodes in the network represented horses attending the show, 87% of nodes represented horses not attending the show, but boarded at individual home facilities, and 5% represented locations. The median degree of a horse in the network was 33 (range: 1-105).

CONCLUSIONS

Developing disease management strategies without the explicit consideration of horses boarded at individual home facilities would underestimate the connectivity of horses in the population. The results of this study provides information that can be used by equestrian show organizers to configure event management in such a way that can limit the extent of potential disease spread.

摘要

背景

识别参加比赛的马群中的接触结构,对于理解马在随后从一个地点到另一个地点移动时马类病原体传播的可能性而言是一个重要因素。然而,在加拿大安大略省,用于量化马的接触模式的信息有限。本研究的目的是描述与一场马术表演相关的潜在接触网络,以确定这种网络结构如何影响潜在的疾病传播。

结果

这是一项对2014年7月6日和7日在加拿大安大略省南部参加一场马术表演的马的描述性研究。马术表演参与者完成了一份关于他们的马、旅行模式和感染控制措施的问卷。从参加表演的79.7%(55/69)的马的主人那里收到了问卷回复。主人报告说,参加表演的马接种了狂犬病、马流感和马疱疹病毒等疾病的疫苗。主人通过报告离家时减少直接和间接接触的机会,表明对大多数感染控制措施有很高的依从性。这个双模式无向网络由820个节点组成(41个地点和779匹马)。网络中8%的节点代表参加表演的马,87%的节点代表未参加表演但寄养在各自家庭设施中的马,5%的节点代表地点。网络中一匹马的平均度数为33(范围:1 - 105)。

结论

在没有明确考虑寄养在各自家庭设施中的马的情况下制定疾病管理策略,会低估马群中的连通性。本研究结果提供的信息可供马术表演组织者用于以限制潜在疾病传播范围的方式配置活动管理。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4bef/5480143/8ef7d860b520/12917_2017_1103_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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