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老年髋部骨折患者死亡的危险因素:18 项研究的荟萃分析。

Risk factors for mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures: a meta-analysis of 18 studies.

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China.

出版信息

Aging Clin Exp Res. 2018 Apr;30(4):323-330. doi: 10.1007/s40520-017-0789-5. Epub 2017 Jun 28.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Hip fracture is common and associated with poor outcomes in elderly patients. This meta-analysis aims to investigate the risk factors that might increase the mortality rate in elderly patients with hip fracture.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were systematically searched for observational studies regarding the prognostic factors of mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture. A fixed-effects or random-effects model was used to calculate pooled hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs).

RESULTS

Eighteen cohort studies, involving 223,875 patients, were included in this meta-analysis. The most prominent factors associated with mortality were higher age (HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.37, 1.67; P < 0.001), male gender (HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.67, 2.19; P < 0.001), cognitive impairment (HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.25, 3.40; P = 0.005), delirium (HR 2.14, 95% CI 1.50, 3.05; P < 0.001), dementia (HR 2.72, 95% CI 1.41, 5.26; P = 0.003), depression (HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.43, 2.05; P < 0.001), living with caregiver (HR 1.61, 95% CI 1.43, 1.82; P < 0.001), cardiovascular disease (HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.14, 3.86; P = 0.018), renal disease (HR 1.66, 95% CI 1.52, 1.82; P < 0.001), and malignancy (HR 1.75, 95% CI 1.30, 2.37; P = 0.031), whereas respiratory disease (HR 1.49, 95% CI 0.99, 2.24; P = 0.056), diabetes (HR 1.15, 95% CI 0.96, 1.37; P = 0.121), and smoking (HR 1.54, 95% CI 0.64, 3.71; P = 0.337) did not increase the risk of mortality.

CONCLUSION

The current study investigated several factors that might increase the risk of mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture. Further studies are needed to evaluate the effectiveness of specific interventions to reduce the risk of mortality.

摘要

背景

髋部骨折在老年患者中较为常见,且与预后不良相关。本荟萃分析旨在探讨可能增加老年髋部骨折患者死亡率的风险因素。

方法

系统检索了 PubMed、Embase 和 Web of Science 中关于老年髋部骨折患者预后因素的观察性研究。使用固定效应或随机效应模型计算合并危险比(HR)和 95%置信区间(95%CI)。

结果

本荟萃分析纳入了 18 项队列研究,共涉及 223875 例患者。与死亡率显著相关的最主要因素包括高龄(HR 1.51,95%CI 1.37,1.67;P<0.001)、男性(HR 1.91,95%CI 1.67,2.19;P<0.001)、认知障碍(HR 2.06,95%CI 1.25,3.40;P=0.005)、谵妄(HR 2.14,95%CI 1.50,3.05;P<0.001)、痴呆(HR 2.72,95%CI 1.41,5.26;P=0.003)、抑郁(HR 1.71,95%CI 1.43,2.05;P<0.001)、与照护者同住(HR 1.61,95%CI 1.43,1.82;P<0.001)、心血管疾病(HR 2.10,95%CI 1.14,3.86;P=0.018)、肾脏疾病(HR 1.66,95%CI 1.52,1.82;P<0.001)和恶性肿瘤(HR 1.75,95%CI 1.30,2.37;P=0.031),而呼吸系统疾病(HR 1.49,95%CI 0.99,2.24;P=0.056)、糖尿病(HR 1.15,95%CI 0.96,1.37;P=0.121)和吸烟(HR 1.54,95%CI 0.64,3.71;P=0.337)与死亡率增加无关。

结论

本研究调查了可能增加老年髋部骨折患者死亡率的若干因素。需要进一步研究评估特定干预措施降低死亡率的效果。

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