Fujii Hidemichi, Managi Shunsuke
Graduate School of Fisheries and Environmental Sciences, Nagasaki University, 1-14 Bunkyo-machi, Nagasaki, 852-8521, Japan.
Department of Urban and Environmental Engineering, School of Engineering, Kyushu University, 744 Motooka, Nishiku, Fukuoka, 819-0395, Japan.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2016 Feb;23(3):2802-12. doi: 10.1007/s11356-015-5523-2. Epub 2015 Oct 9.
This study analyzed the relationship between economic growth and emissions of eight environmental air pollutants (carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), nitrogen oxide (NOx), sulfur oxide (SOx), carbon monoxide (CO), non-methane volatile organic compound (NMVOC), and ammonia (NH3)) in 39 countries from 1995 to 2009. We tested an environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis for 16 individual industry sectors and for the total industrial sector. The results clarified that at least ten individual industries do not have an EKC relationship in eight air pollutants even though this relationship was observed in the country and total industrial sector level data. We found that the key industries that dictated the EKC relationship in the country and the total industrial sector existed in CO2, N2O, CO, and NMVOC emissions. Finally, the EKC turning point and the relationship between economic development and trends of air pollutant emissions differ among industries according to the pollution substances. These results suggest inducing new environmental policy design such as the sectoral crediting mechanism, which focuses on the industrial characteristics of emissions.
本研究分析了1995年至2009年期间39个国家经济增长与八种环境空气污染物(二氧化碳(CO2)、甲烷(CH4)、氧化亚氮(N2O)、氮氧化物(NOx)、硫氧化物(SOx)、一氧化碳(CO)、非甲烷挥发性有机化合物(NMVOC)和氨(NH3))排放之间的关系。我们对16个单独的工业部门以及整个工业部门检验了环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说。结果表明,尽管在国家和整个工业部门层面的数据中观察到了这种关系,但至少有十个单独的行业在八种空气污染物中不存在EKC关系。我们发现,在国家和整个工业部门中决定EKC关系的关键行业存在于CO2、N2O、CO和NMVOC排放中。最后,根据污染物质的不同,EKC转折点以及经济发展与空气污染物排放趋势之间的关系在不同行业中也有所不同。这些结果表明需要引入新的环境政策设计,例如部门信用机制,该机制侧重于排放的行业特征。