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本文引用的文献

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Will cervical screening remain cost-effective in women offered the next generation nonavalent HPV vaccine? Results for four developed countries.对于接种下一代九价人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)疫苗的女性,子宫颈癌筛查是否仍具有成本效益?四个发达国家的结果。
Int J Cancer. 2016 Dec 15;139(12):2771-2780. doi: 10.1002/ijc.30392.
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Re-detection vs. new acquisition of high-risk human papillomavirus in mid-adult women.中年女性高危型人乳头瘤病毒的重新检测与新感染情况
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Age Effects and Temporal Trends in HPV-Related and HPV-Unrelated Oral Cancer in the United States: A Multistage Carcinogenesis Modeling Analysis.美国HPV相关和HPV非相关口腔癌的年龄效应及时间趋势:多阶段致癌模型分析
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Exploiting evolutionary principles to prolong tumor control in preclinical models of breast cancer.利用进化原理延长乳腺癌临床前模型中的肿瘤控制时间。
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Transmission heterogeneity and autoinoculation in a multisite infection model of HPV.人乳头瘤病毒多部位感染模型中的传播异质性与自体接种
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HPV-FASTER: broadening the scope for prevention of HPV-related cancer.HPV-FASTER:扩大 HPV 相关癌症预防范围。
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8
Episodic detection of human papillomavirus within a longitudinal cohort of young women.在一个年轻女性的纵向队列中进行人乳头瘤病毒的间歇性检测。
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Tumor evolution. High burden and pervasive positive selection of somatic mutations in normal human skin.肿瘤进化。正常人类皮肤中体细胞突变的高负担和普遍正向选择。
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Impact of coverage-dependent marginal costs on optimal HPV vaccination strategies.覆盖率相关边际成本对最优人乳头瘤病毒疫苗接种策略的影响。
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机制数学模型:人乳头瘤病毒研究中未充分利用的平台。

Mechanistic mathematical models: An underused platform for HPV research.

作者信息

Ryser Marc D, Gravitt Patti E, Myers Evan R

机构信息

Department of Surgery, Division of Advanced Oncologic and GI Surgery, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, USA; Department of Mathematics, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.

Department of Global Health, Milken Institute School of Public Health, George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA.

出版信息

Papillomavirus Res. 2017 Jun;3:46-49. doi: 10.1016/j.pvr.2017.01.004. Epub 2017 Feb 4.

DOI:10.1016/j.pvr.2017.01.004
PMID:28720456
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5518640/
Abstract

Health economic modeling has become an invaluable methodology for the design and evaluation of clinical and public health interventions against the human papillomavirus (HPV) and associated diseases. At the same time, relatively little attention has been paid to a different yet complementary class of models, namely that of mechanistic mathematical models. The primary focus of mechanistic mathematical models is to better understand the intricate biologic mechanisms and dynamics of disease. Inspired by a long and successful history of mechanistic modeling in other biomedical fields, we highlight several areas of HPV research where mechanistic models have the potential to advance the field. We argue that by building quantitative bridges between biologic mechanism and population level data, mechanistic mathematical models provide a unique platform to enable collaborations between experimentalists who collect data at different physical scales of the HPV infection process. Through such collaborations, mechanistic mathematical models can accelerate and enhance the investigation of HPV and related diseases.

摘要

健康经济模型已成为设计和评估针对人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)及相关疾病的临床和公共卫生干预措施的一种极有价值的方法。与此同时,相对较少受到关注的是另一类不同但互补的模型,即机制数学模型。机制数学模型的主要重点是更好地理解疾病复杂的生物学机制和动态变化。受其他生物医学领域长期且成功的机制建模历史的启发,我们强调了HPV研究的几个领域,在这些领域中机制模型有推动该领域发展的潜力。我们认为,通过在生物学机制和人群水平数据之间建立定量桥梁,机制数学模型提供了一个独特的平台,能够促进在HPV感染过程不同物理尺度上收集数据的实验人员之间的合作。通过这种合作,机制数学模型可以加速并加强对HPV及相关疾病的研究。