*Department of Mathematics and Statistics,Sultan Qaboos University,Muscat,Sultanate of Oman.
†Institute of Statistical Research and Training,University of Dhaka,Bangladesh.
J Biosoc Sci. 2018 Jul;50(4):573-578. doi: 10.1017/S0021932017000372. Epub 2017 Aug 10.
This study examined the recent level, trends and determinants of consanguineous marriage in Jordan using time-series data from the Jordan Population and Family Health Surveys (JPFHSs). According to the 2012 JPFHS, 35% of all marriages were consanguineous in Jordan in 2012. There has been a declining trend in consanguinity in the country, with the rate decreasing from a level of 57% in 1990. Most consanguineous marriage in 2012 were first cousin marriages, constituting 23% of all marriages and 66% of all consanguineous marriages. The data show that women with a lower age at marriage, older marriage cohort, larger family size, less than secondary level of education, rural place of residence, no employment, no exposure to mass media, a monogamous marriage, a husband with less than higher level of education and lower economic status, and those from the Badia region, were more likely to have a consanguineous marriage. Increasing age at marriage, level of education, urbanization and knowledge about the health consequences of consanguinity, and the ongoing socioeconomic and demographic transition in the country, will be the driving forces for further decline in consanguinity in Jordan.
本研究使用来自约旦人口与家庭健康调查(JPFHS)的时间序列数据,考察了约旦近期近亲婚姻的水平、趋势和决定因素。根据 2012 年 JPFHS,2012 年约旦有 35%的婚姻是近亲婚姻。该国的血亲率呈下降趋势,从 1990 年的 57%下降到这一水平。2012 年大多数近亲婚姻是表亲婚姻,占所有婚姻的 23%,占所有近亲婚姻的 66%。数据显示,初婚年龄较小、婚龄较大、家庭规模较大、受教育程度低于中等水平、居住在农村、没有就业、没有接触大众媒体、一夫一妻制、丈夫受教育程度低于高等水平和经济地位较低、来自巴迪亚地区的女性更有可能选择近亲婚姻。随着初婚年龄的增加、教育水平的提高、城市化进程的加快以及对近亲婚姻健康后果的认识不断提高,以及该国正在进行的社会经济和人口转型,约旦的血亲率将进一步下降。