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评估冬油菜(甘蓝型油菜)的农业气候限制和产量差距 - 案例研究。

Evaluating agroclimatic constraints and yield gaps for winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus L.) - A case study.

机构信息

College of Resources and Environment, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan, 430070, China.

Key Laboratory of Arable Land Conservation (Middle and Lower Reaches of Yangtze River), Ministry of Agriculture, Wuhan, 430070, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2017 Aug 10;7(1):7852. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-08164-x.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-017-08164-x
PMID:28798315
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5552806/
Abstract

Evaluating the effects of agroclimatic constraints on winter oilseed rape (WOSR) yield can facilitate the development of agricultural mitigation and adaptation strategies. In this study, we investigated the relationship between the WOSR yield and agroclimatic factors using the yield data collected from Agricultural Yearbook and field experimental sites, and the climate dataset from the meteorological stations in Hubei province, China. Five agroclimatic indicators during WOSR growth, such as ≥0 °C accumulated temperature (AT-0), overwintering days (OWD), precipitation (P), precipitation at an earlier stage (EP) and sunshine hours (S), were extracted from twelve agroclimatic indices. The attainable yield for the five yield-limiting factors ranged from 2638 kg ha (EP) to 3089 kg ha (AT-0). Farmers (Y ) and local agronomists (Y ) have achieved 63% and 86% of the attainable yield (Y ), respectively. The contribution of optimum fertilization to narrow the yield gap (NY ) was 52% for the factor P, which was remarkably lower than the mean value (63%). Overall, the precipitation was the crucial yield-limiting agroclimatic factor, and restricted the effect of optimizing fertilization. The integrated data suggest that agricultural strategies of mitigation and adaptation to climatic variability based on different agroclimatic factors are essential for improving the crop yield.

摘要

评估农艺气候约束对冬油菜(WOSR)产量的影响,可以促进农业缓解和适应策略的制定。本研究通过收集农业年鉴和田间试验站点的产量数据以及中国湖北省气象站的气候数据集,调查了 WOSR 产量与农艺气候因子之间的关系。从 12 个农艺气候指数中提取了五个冬油菜生长期间的农艺气候指标,包括≥0°C 积温(AT-0)、越冬天数(OWD)、降水(P)、前期降水(EP)和日照时数(S)。五个产量限制因素的可实现产量范围为 2638kg/ha(EP)至 3089kg/ha(AT-0)。农民(Y)和当地农学家(Y)分别实现了可实现产量的 63%和 86%。对于因子 P,最优施肥对缩小产量差距(NY)的贡献为 52%,这明显低于平均值(63%)。总体而言,降水是关键的产量限制农艺气候因子,限制了优化施肥的效果。综合数据表明,基于不同农艺气候因子的农业缓解和适应气候变化策略对于提高作物产量至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/5140d693dc74/41598_2017_8164_Fig7_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/d49352334bcd/41598_2017_8164_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/d01d925c541c/41598_2017_8164_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/155c03ddbff5/41598_2017_8164_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/8584ed61d5e5/41598_2017_8164_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/fba4bbe68734/41598_2017_8164_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/c3be7f26a41d/41598_2017_8164_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/5140d693dc74/41598_2017_8164_Fig7_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/d49352334bcd/41598_2017_8164_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/d01d925c541c/41598_2017_8164_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/155c03ddbff5/41598_2017_8164_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/8584ed61d5e5/41598_2017_8164_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/fba4bbe68734/41598_2017_8164_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/c3be7f26a41d/41598_2017_8164_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d32c/5552806/5140d693dc74/41598_2017_8164_Fig7_HTML.jpg

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Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming.全球变暖导致夜间温度升高,水稻产量下降。
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