Marshall Charles R
Department of Integrative Biology and University of California Museum of Paleontology, University of California, Berkeley, California 94720-4780, USA.
Nat Ecol Evol. 2017 May 23;1(6):165. doi: 10.1038/s41559-017-0165.
The foundations of several disciplines can be expressed as simple quantitative laws, for example, Newton's laws or the laws of thermodynamics. Here I present five laws derived from fossil data that describe the relationships among species extinction and longevity, species richness, origination rates, extinction rates and diversification. These statements of our palaeobiological knowledge constitute a dimension largely hidden from view when studying the living biota, which are nonetheless crucial to the study of evolution and ecology even for groups with poor or non-existent fossil records. These laws encapsulate: the critical fact of extinction; that species are typically geologically short-lived, and thus that the number of extinct species typically dwarfs the number of living species; that extinction and origination rates typically have similar magnitudes; and, that significant extinction makes it difficult to infer much about a clade's early history or its current diversity dynamics from the living biota alone. Although important strides are being made to integrate these core palaeontological findings into our analysis of the living biota, this knowledge needs to be incorporated more widely if we are to understand their evolutionary dynamics.
几个学科的基础都可以用简单的定量定律来表述,例如牛顿定律或热力学定律。在此,我提出五条从化石数据推导出来的定律,它们描述了物种灭绝与寿命、物种丰富度、起源速率、灭绝速率及多样化之间的关系。这些关于古生物学知识的陈述构成了一个维度,在研究现存生物群时很大程度上是隐藏不见的,然而即便对于化石记录稀少或不存在的类群,这些维度对于进化和生态学研究也是至关重要的。这些定律概括了:灭绝的关键事实;物种在地质时间上通常是短暂存在的,因此灭绝物种的数量通常远远超过现存物种的数量;灭绝速率和起源速率通常具有相似的量级;以及,重大灭绝事件使得仅从现存生物群很难推断一个类群的早期历史或其当前的多样性动态。尽管在将这些核心古生物学发现整合到我们对现存生物群的分析方面正在取得重要进展,但如果我们要理解它们的进化动态,这些知识需要更广泛地被纳入。