Adamu Aishatu L, Aliyu Muktar H, Galadanci Najiba Aliyu, Musa Baba Maiyaki, Gadanya Muktar A, Gajida Auwalu U, Amole Taiwo G, Bello Imam W, Gambo Safiya, Abubakar Ibrahim
Department of Community Medicine, College of Health Sciences, Bayero University Kano, Kano, Nigeria.
Department of Community Medicine, Aminu Kano Teaching Hospital, Kano, Nigeria.
PLoS One. 2017 Aug 17;12(8):e0183270. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0183270. eCollection 2017.
Despite availability of effective cure, tuberculosis (TB) remains a leading cause of death in children. In many high-burden countries, childhood TB is underdiagnosed and underreported, and care is often accessed too late, resulting in adverse treatment outcomes. In this study, we examined the time to death and its associated factors among a cohort of children that commenced TB treatment in a large treatment centre in northern Nigeria.
This is a retrospective cohort study of children that started TB treatment between 2010 and 2014. We determined mortality rates per 100 person-months of treatment, as well as across treatment and calendar periods. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to determine adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) for factors associated with mortality.
Among 299 children with a median age 4 years and HIV prevalence of 33.4%; 85 (28.4%) died after 1,383 months of follow-up. Overall mortality rate was 6.1 per 100 person-months. Deaths occurred early during treatment and declined from 42.4 per 100 person-months in the 1st week of treatment to 2.2 per 100 person-months after at the 3rd month of treatment. Mortality was highest between October to December period (9.1 per 100 pm) and lowest between July and September (2.8 per 100 pm). Risk factors for mortality included previous TB treatment (aHR 2.04:95%CI;1.09-3.84); HIV infection (aHR 1.66:95%CI;1.02-2.71), having either extra-pulmonary disease (aHR 2.21:95%CI;1.26-3.89) or both pulmonary and extrapulmonary disease (aHR 3.03:95%CI;1.70-5.40).
Mortality was high and occurred early during treatment in this cohort, likely indicative of poor access to prompt TB diagnosis and treatment. A redoubling of efforts at improving universal health coverage are required to achieve the End TB Strategy target of zero deaths from TB.
尽管有有效的治疗方法,但结核病仍是儿童死亡的主要原因。在许多高负担国家,儿童结核病的诊断和报告不足,而且往往就医过晚,导致不良的治疗结果。在本研究中,我们调查了在尼日利亚北部一个大型治疗中心开始接受结核病治疗的一组儿童的死亡时间及其相关因素。
这是一项对2010年至2014年间开始接受结核病治疗的儿童进行的回顾性队列研究。我们确定了每100人月治疗期的死亡率,以及整个治疗期和日历期的死亡率。我们使用Cox比例风险回归来确定与死亡率相关因素的调整后风险比(aHR)。
在299名中位年龄为4岁、艾滋病毒感染率为33.4%的儿童中,85名(28.4%)在1383个月的随访后死亡。总体死亡率为每100人月6.1例。死亡发生在治疗早期,从治疗第1周的每100人月42.4例下降到治疗第3个月后的每100人月2.2例。死亡率在10月至12月期间最高(每100人月9.1例),在7月至9月期间最低(每100人月2.8例)。死亡的危险因素包括既往结核病治疗史(aHR 2.04:95%CI;1.09 - 3.84);艾滋病毒感染(aHR 1.66:95%CI;1.02 - 2.71),患有肺外疾病(aHR 2.21:95%CI;1.26 - 3.89)或同时患有肺部和肺外疾病(aHR 3.03:95%CI;1.70 - 5.40)。
该队列中的死亡率很高且发生在治疗早期,这可能表明难以获得及时的结核病诊断和治疗。需要加倍努力改善全民健康覆盖,以实现结核病零死亡的终结结核病战略目标。