Sellers R F
Epidemiol Infect. 1987 Feb;98(1):119-25. doi: 10.1017/s0950268800061793.
An analysis of the meterological conditions showed that the first outbreaks of myxomatosis in S.E. England in 1953 could have resulted from wind carriage of insects infected with myxoma virus from northern France. South-easterly winds on the night 11-12 August would have carried the insects 120-160 km from the Départements of Nord, Pas de Calais and Somme across the English Channel to near Edenbridge, Kent. The flight would have taken 6.5-8.5 h at wind speeds of 15-22 km h-1. On the night 11-12 August, temperatures increased with height (inversion) up to 500 m; at ground level temperature was around 19 degrees C and at 500 m was 25 degrees C. Insects would have travelled up to the top of the inversion arriving on 12 August as the inversion declined. Two or possibly three generations of infection would have taken place before the disease was seen around the middle of September 1953. The most likely insect was the mosquito Anopheles atroparvus which breeds along the coastal marshes of England and northern France and which has been shown experimentally and in the field to transmit myxoma virus mechanically.
气象条件分析表明,1953年英格兰东南部首次爆发黏液瘤病可能是由于感染黏液瘤病毒的昆虫从法国北部随风传播所致。8月11日至12日夜间的东南风会将昆虫从北部省、加来海峡省和索姆省携带120 - 160公里,穿越英吉利海峡到达肯特郡伊登布里奇附近。以15 - 22公里每小时的风速,飞行将耗时6.5 - 8.5小时。8月11日至12日夜间,温度随高度上升(逆温)直至500米;地面温度约为19摄氏度,500米处为25摄氏度。昆虫会随着逆温上升至顶部,随着逆温消退于8月12日抵达。在1953年9月中旬左右该病被发现之前,可能已经发生了两代甚至三代感染。最有可能的昆虫是小劣按蚊,它在英格兰和法国北部的沿海沼泽地繁殖,并且已经在实验和实地中证明能够机械传播黏液瘤病毒。