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晚年驾驶的流行病学:社会人口统计学、健康与功能特征、事故停止的预测因素以及驾驶期望。

The epidemiology of driving in later life: Sociodemographic, health and functional characteristics, predictors of incident cessation, and driving expectations.

作者信息

Anstey Kaarin J, Li Xiaolan, Hosking Diane E, Eramudugolla Ranmalee

机构信息

The Centre for Research on Ageing, Health and Wellbeing, Research School of Population Health, Florey Building 54, Mills Rd, The Australian National University, Australia.

The Centre for Research on Ageing, Health and Wellbeing, Research School of Population Health, Florey Building 54, Mills Rd, The Australian National University, Australia.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2017 Oct;107:110-116. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2017.07.026.

Abstract

AIM

To describe population-level characteristics of drivers and non-drivers in a cohort of older Australians and identify predictors of driving cessation and expectations.

METHODS

The sample comprised the oldest cohort of the PATH Through Life project who were assessed 4 times between 2001 and 2013. At waves 3 and 4 questions on driving were included in the study interview. Data were also collected on health, physical and cognitive function and psychosocial wellbeing. Descriptive analyses compared drivers and non-drivers on sociodemographic, health and functional variables and regression models identified predictors of cessation and driving expectations.

RESULTS

92.5% of the sample were current drivers. They reported better physical, mental and cognitive health than non-drivers. Drivers expected to drive for another 12.6 years, the majority drove 6+ days per week. Four percent of the sample ceased driving over the four year follow-up. Predictors of cessation were financial problems, driving expectations and driving fewer kilometres per week. Predictors of expectations were poorer self-rated health, mastery, difficulties reading maps, self-rated visual function, years of driving experience, and fewer kilometres driven per week.

CONCLUSION

Driving is normative for many older Australians in their 70s. Similar factors are associated with actual cessation and expectation of driving suggesting that older adults do have a sense of their expected driving life.

摘要

目的

描述澳大利亚老年人群队列中驾驶者与非驾驶者的人群特征,并确定驾驶停止的预测因素及期望。

方法

样本包括“贯穿一生之路”项目中年龄最大的队列,他们在2001年至2013年间接受了4次评估。在第3轮和第4轮访谈中纳入了关于驾驶的问题。还收集了健康、身体和认知功能以及心理社会幸福感的数据。描述性分析比较了驾驶者与非驾驶者在社会人口统计学、健康和功能变量方面的情况,回归模型确定了停止驾驶和驾驶期望的预测因素。

结果

92.5%的样本为当前驾驶者。他们报告的身体、心理和认知健康状况优于非驾驶者。驾驶者预计还能再驾驶12.6年,大多数人每周驾驶6天以上。在四年的随访期间,4%的样本停止了驾驶。停止驾驶的预测因素包括经济问题、驾驶期望以及每周驾驶公里数减少。期望的预测因素包括自我评估健康状况较差、掌控感、阅读地图困难、自我评估视觉功能、驾驶经验年限以及每周驾驶公里数减少。

结论

对于许多70多岁的澳大利亚老年人来说,驾驶是常态。实际停止驾驶和驾驶期望与相似因素相关,这表明老年人对其预期的驾驶年限有一定认识。

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