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伊朗成年人群中采用弗雷明汉风险评分(FRS)和系统性冠状动脉风险评估(SCORE)进行心血管风险评估

Cardiovascular risk assessment by FRS and SCORE in Iranian adult population.

作者信息

Meysamie Alipasha, Salarvand Fereshteh, Khorasanizadeh MirHojjat, Ghalehtaki Reza, Eskian Mahsa, Ghodsi Saeed, Ghalehtaki Shirin, Abbasi Mehrshad, Etemad Koroush, Asgari Fereshteh, Esteghamati Alireza

机构信息

Department of Community and Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, School of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

Department of Dermatology, Razi Hospital, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

出版信息

J Diabetes Metab Disord. 2017 Aug 23;16:35. doi: 10.1186/s40200-017-0316-4. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Handling the growing epidemic of coronary heart disease in developing nations hinges on primary prevention, which logistically requires directing preventive interventions to those at the highest risk. Therefore, implementing cardiovascular risk assessment profiles is crucial to distinguish high risk groups who truly need extensive preventive measures. We aimed to draw a picture of the cardiovascular risk profiles in the Iranian adult population for the first time.

METHODS

Demographic, anthropometric, and laboratory data as well as blood pressure and smoking status of 3944 subjects participating in the 2011 national surveillance of risk factors for non-communicable diseases were used to calculate the mean estimated risk of coronary artery disease and the relative frequency of low-, medium- and high-risk subjects based on FRS and SCORE indices in general population as well as different age, sex, and residence subgroups.

RESULTS

The average 10-year risk of coronary artery disease (FRS) and 10-year risk of fatal coronary and cerebrovascular accidents (SCORE) in the 25 to 64 year-old population was 13.82 and 0.72 respectively. The relative frequency of the intermediate- and high- risk subjects was 25.8 and 22.6% based on FRS and 9.2 and 1.8% based on SCORE respectively. Average FRS and SCORE were significantly higher among men than women, but were not significantly different among urban and rural residents.

CONCLUSIONS

A significant proportion of the Iranian population, based on FRS model, will be at moderate to high risk of coronary events in the next 10 years. Urgent preventive plans are needed at the national level.

摘要

背景

应对发展中国家日益增长的冠心病流行状况取决于一级预防,而从后勤保障角度来看,这需要将预防性干预措施针对那些风险最高的人群。因此,实施心血管风险评估概况对于区分真正需要广泛预防措施的高危人群至关重要。我们旨在首次描绘出伊朗成年人群的心血管风险概况。

方法

利用参与2011年全国非传染性疾病风险因素监测的3944名受试者的人口统计学、人体测量学和实验室数据以及血压和吸烟状况,根据一般人群以及不同年龄、性别和居住亚组的FRS和SCORE指数,计算冠状动脉疾病的平均估计风险以及低、中、高危受试者的相对频率。

结果

25至64岁人群中冠状动脉疾病的平均10年风险(FRS)和致命性冠心病和脑血管意外的10年风险(SCORE)分别为13.82和0.72。基于FRS,中高危受试者的相对频率分别为25.8%和22.6%;基于SCORE,分别为9.2%和1.8%。男性的平均FRS和SCORE显著高于女性,但城乡居民之间无显著差异。

结论

根据FRS模型,很大一部分伊朗人口在未来10年将面临中度至高度的冠心病事件风险。国家层面需要紧急的预防计划。

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