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印度畜牧业 CH 排放的气候变化影响:全球温度变化潜能(GTP)和地面温度响应。

Climate change impact of livestock CH emission in India: Global temperature change potential (GTP) and surface temperature response.

机构信息

Centre for Energy Studies, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi 110016, India.

School of Environmental Sciences, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi 110067, India.

出版信息

Ecotoxicol Environ Saf. 2018 Jan;147:516-522. doi: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2017.09.003. Epub 2017 Sep 14.

Abstract

Two climate metrics, Global surface Temperature Change Potential (GTP) and the Absolute GTP (AGTP) are used for studying the global surface temperature impact of CH emission from livestock in India. The impact on global surface temperature is estimated for 20 and 100 year time frames due to CH emission. The results show that the CH emission from livestock, worked out to 15.3 Tg in 2012. In terms of climate metrics GTP of livestock-related CH emission in India in 2012 were 1030 Tg COe (GTP) and 62 Tg COe (GTP) at the 20 and 100 year time horizon, respectively. The study also illustrates that livestock-related CH emissions in India can cause a surface temperature increase of up to 0.7mK and 0.036mK over the 20 and 100 year time periods, respectively. The surface temperature response to a year of Indian livestock emission peaks at 0.9mK in the year 2021 (9 years after the time of emission). The AGTP gives important information in terms of temperature change due to annual CH emissions, which is useful when comparing policies that address multiple gases.

摘要

两种气候指标,全球表面温度变化潜能(GTP)和绝对 GTP(AGTP),被用于研究印度畜牧业 CH 排放对全球表面温度的影响。由于 CH 排放,对全球表面温度的影响估计在 20 年和 100 年的时间框架内。结果表明,2012 年畜牧业的 CH 排放量为 15.3 Tg。就气候指标而言,2012 年印度与畜牧业相关的 CH 排放的 GTP 分别为 1030TgCOe(GTP)和 62TgCOe(GTP),时间范围分别为 20 年和 100 年。该研究还表明,印度与畜牧业相关的 CH 排放可能导致表面温度在 20 年和 100 年的时间内分别升高 0.7mK 和 0.036mK。印度畜牧业排放对表面温度的响应在 2021 年(排放后 9 年)达到峰值,为 0.9mK。AGTP 提供了由于年度 CH 排放导致的温度变化的重要信息,这在比较解决多种气体的政策时非常有用。

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