Sbardella Angelica, Pugliese Emanuele, Pietronero Luciano
ISC-CNR - Institute of Complex Systems, Rome, Italy.
Faculty of Economics, Università degli Studi di Roma Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy.
PLoS One. 2017 Sep 19;12(9):e0182774. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0182774. eCollection 2017.
Adapting methods from complex system analysis, this paper analyzes the features of the complex relationship between wage inequality and the development and industrialization of a country. Development is understood as a combination of a monetary index, GDP per capita, and a recently introduced measure of a country's economic complexity: Fitness. Initially the paper looks at wage inequality on a global scale, over the time period 1990-2008. Our empirical results show that globally the movement of wage inequality along with the ongoing industrialization of countries has followed a longitudinally persistent pattern comparable to the one theorized by Kuznets in the fifties: countries with an average level of development suffer the highest levels of wage inequality. Next, the study narrows its focus on wage inequality within the United States. By using data on wages and employment in the approximately 3100 US counties over the time interval 1990-2014, it generalizes the Fitness-Complexity metric for geographic units and industrial sectors, and then investigates wage inequality between NAICS industries. The empirical time and scale dependencies are consistent with a relation between wage inequality and development driven by institutional factors comparing countries, and by change in the structural compositions of sectors in a homogeneous institutional environment, such as the counties of the United States.
本文采用复杂系统分析方法,剖析了工资不平等与国家发展及工业化之间复杂关系的特征。发展被理解为货币指标、人均国内生产总值以及最近引入的衡量国家经济复杂性的指标:适应度的结合。本文首先考察了1990 - 2008年全球范围内的工资不平等情况。我们的实证结果表明,从全球范围来看,随着各国工业化进程的推进,工资不平等的变化呈现出一种纵向持续的模式,类似于库兹涅茨在五十年代提出的理论模式:发展水平处于平均水平的国家工资不平等程度最高。接下来,该研究将重点缩小到美国国内的工资不平等问题。通过使用1990 - 2014年期间美国约3100个县的工资和就业数据,将适应度 - 复杂性指标推广到地理单元和工业部门,然后研究北美产业分类体系(NAICS)各行业之间的工资不平等情况。实证的时间和规模依赖性与工资不平等和发展之间的关系相一致,这种关系在比较各国时由制度因素驱动,而在同质制度环境(如美国各县)中则由部门结构组成的变化驱动。