Moore Lynne, Evans David, Yanchar Natalie L, Thakore Jaimini, Stelfox Henry Thomas, Hameed Morad, Simons Richard, Kortbeek John, Clément Julien, Lauzier François, Turgeon Alexis F
From the Department of Social and Preventative Medicine, Université Laval, Québec, Que. (Moore); the Axe Santé des Populations et Pratiques Optimales en Santé, Traumatologie-Urgence-Soins intensifs, Centre de Recherche du CHU de Québec, Hôpital de l'Enfant-Jésus, Université Laval, Québec, Que. (Moore, Lauzier, Turgeon); the Department of Surgery, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta. (Yanchar); the Department of Surgery, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC (Evans, Thakore, Hameed); the Department of Critical Care Medicine, Medicine and Community Health Sciences (Stelfox), O'Brien Institute for Public Health, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta. (Stelfox); the Department of Surgery, Division of General Surgery and Division of Critical Care, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta. (Kortbeek); the Institut national d'excellence en santé et en services sociaux, Québec, Que. (Clément); the Department of Surgery, Université Laval, Québec, Que. (Clément); and the Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Division of Critical Care Medicine, Université Laval, Québec, Que. (Lauzier, Turgeon).
Can J Surg. 2017 Dec;60(6):380-387. doi: 10.1503/cjs.002817.
Acute care injury outcomes vary substantially across Canadian provinces and trauma centres. Our aim was to develop Canadian benchmarks to monitor mortality and hospital length of stay (LOS) for injury admissions.
Benchmarks were derived using data from the Canadian National Trauma Registry on patients with major trauma admitted to any level I or II trauma centre in Canada and from the following patient subgroups: isolated traumatic brain injury (TBI), isolated thoracoabdominal injury, multisystem blunt injury, age 65 years or older. We assessed predictive validity using measures of discrimination and calibration, and performed sensitivity analyses to assess the impact of replacing analytically complex methods (multiple imputation, shrinkage estimates and flexible modelling) with simple models that can be implemented locally.
The mortality risk adjustment model had excellent discrimination and calibration (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.886, Hosmer-Lemeshow 36). The LOS risk-adjustment model predicted 29% of the variation in LOS. Overall, observed:expected ratios of mortality and mean LOS generated by an analytically simple model correlated strongly with those generated by analytically complex models ( > 0.95, κ on outliers > 0.90).
We propose Canadian benchmarks that can be used to monitor quality of care in Canadian trauma centres using Excel (see the appendices, available at canjsurg.ca). The program can be implemented using local trauma registries, providing that at least 100 patients are available for analysis.
加拿大各省和创伤中心的急性护理损伤结果差异很大。我们的目标是制定加拿大基准,以监测损伤入院患者的死亡率和住院时间(LOS)。
基准数据来源于加拿大国家创伤登记处,涵盖了入住加拿大任何一级或二级创伤中心的重大创伤患者,以及以下患者亚组:单纯创伤性脑损伤(TBI)、单纯胸腹损伤、多系统钝性损伤、65岁及以上患者。我们使用鉴别和校准指标评估预测有效性,并进行敏感性分析,以评估用可在当地实施的简单模型取代分析复杂方法(多重插补、收缩估计和灵活建模)的影响。
死亡率风险调整模型具有出色的鉴别和校准能力(受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.886,Hosmer-Lemeshow检验为36)。住院时间风险调整模型预测了住院时间变异的29%。总体而言,一个分析简单的模型生成的死亡率和平均住院时间的观察值与预期值之比,与分析复杂的模型生成的比值高度相关(>0.95,异常值的κ>0.90)。
我们提出了加拿大基准,可用于使用Excel监测加拿大创伤中心的护理质量(见附录,可在canjsurg.ca获取)。该程序可使用当地创伤登记处实施,前提是至少有100名患者可供分析。